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Model picks & player props
Cincinnati Reds
VS
Colorado Rockies

Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 28, 12:20AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Sun 19 Jul 2026, 7:10PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 10.5 Total Runs +118

The model graded 20 markets for Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $218 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 19 Jul 2026, 7:10PM at Coors Field.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win58.9%
The price says45.9%
Best price+118
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Under 10.5 Lean59% chance +118
Total Runs High74% chance
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Lean53% chance
Total Runs High67% chance
Total Runs High63% chance
Total Runs High81% chance
Total Runs Lean50% chance
Total Runs High86% chance
Total Runs High90% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Over 9.5 · $100 returned $460

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 936 of 1,930 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 26
Under 4.5
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $440
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Under
9.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Cincinnati Reds

  • Graham Ashcraft RPOut
  • Brady Singer SPDay-to-day
  • Brandon Williamson SPOut
  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut

Colorado Rockies

  • Kyle Freeland SPOut
  • Kyle Karros 3BOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Gabriel Hughes SP
Availability updated Aug 27, 5:05PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 16 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability16 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Cincinnati Reds L51-4

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Run LineColorado Rockies run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.6L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Cincinnati Reds L51-4

Colorado Rockies spread form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati RedsNo line posted

Colorado Rockies total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
2.5runs we expect
L5 RF1.6L5 RA3.2Home L53-2vs Cincinnati Reds L51-4

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.6 runs/gm.

Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Cincinnati Reds at Colorado Rockies — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies — recent results

Colorado Rockies have won 2 of their last 5 games; Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5.

Colorado Rockies — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W13–1WSHAway
W3–1WSHAway
L3–13WSHAway
L3–4CLEHome
L2–7CLEHome
Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–3SFAway
W10–9SFAway
L0–5SFAway
W11–5ARIAway
L3–5ARIAway

Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Colorado Rockies are scoring 1.4 runs per game (3-2) while Cincinnati Reds are at 3.4 (2-3); Colorado Rockies pitchers are allowing 1.8 earned runs per game versus 2.2 for Cincinnati Reds.

1.4
Colorado Rockies runs/G
3.4
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
Last 5 gamesColorado RockiesCincinnati Reds
Runs / game1.43.4
Hits / game2.65.0
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game1.81.2
Batter K / game1.04.2
Earned runs allowed / game1.82.2
Pitching K / game3.03.4
Walks allowed / game2.21.4
L5 record3-22-3

Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Colorado Rockies won 3, Cincinnati Reds won 5.

DateColorado RockiesCincinnati RedsWinner
Jul 1969Cincinnati Reds
Jul 1827Cincinnati Reds
Jul 18103Colorado Rockies
Apr 3046Cincinnati Reds
Apr 29132Colorado Rockies
Apr 2827Cincinnati Reds
Mar 1886Colorado Rockies
Mar 1018Cincinnati Reds

Who’s out or in doubt

16 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Colorado Rockies
PlayerStatus
Kyle Freeland SPOUT
Kyle Karros 3BOUT
Jose Quintana SPOUT
Chase Dollander SPOUT
Welinton Herrera RPOUT
McCade Brown SPOUT
RJ Petit RPOUT
Pierson Ohl RPOUT
Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Graham Ashcraft RPOUT
Brady Singer SPDAY-TO-DAY
Brandon Williamson SPOUT
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds stats and odds.

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds : Colorado Rockies +0.5 (+100)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Rockies host the Reds on Sunday, the Mile High air might just give Colorado the edge they need. Lately, the Rockies have shown a surprising uptick in their offensive production, with their bats coming alive in recent series. They’ve been racking up runs, especially at Coors Field, where the thin air is a hitter’s paradise. On the mound, the Rockies are leaning on their ace, who has been nothing short of dominant in his last few outings, pounding the strike zone and limiting hard contact. Meanwhile, the Reds have struggled to find consistency, particularly against right-handed pitchers, which could spell trouble for them today. With the Rockies’ recent form and the advantage of home field, they’re primed to not only win but cover that slim run line. Expect a spirited performance that keeps the momentum rolling in their favor this Sunday.

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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
18 Jul 26 Spread Colorado Rockies +4.5 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Total Runs Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Cincinnati Reds 0.5 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Spread Cincinnati Reds -2.5 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Spread Cincinnati Reds -3.5 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Spread Cincinnati Reds +1.5 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 10.5 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Spread Cincinnati Reds +2.5 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
18 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 12 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Reds vs Rockies, or as Rockies vs Reds. The most recent game between them was Sunday 19 July 2026 at Coors Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 8 meetings
Cincinnati Reds 5–3 across the last 8 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
19 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies6–9Cincinnati Reds
18 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies2–7Cincinnati Reds
18 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies10–3Colorado Rockies
30 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds6–4Cincinnati Reds
29 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds2–13Colorado Rockies
28 Apr 2026Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds7–2Cincinnati Reds
18 Mar 2026Colorado Rockies @ Cincinnati Reds6–8Colorado Rockies
10 Mar 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies1–8Cincinnati Reds
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