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Model picks & player props
Cincinnati Reds
VS
Colorado Rockies

Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 6, 2:16PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Coors Field, Denver
Outdoor
Sun 19 Jul 2026, 7:10PM
20
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Colorado Rockies (Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings)
For Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies (MLB), model win probability 53.1%, fair odds 1.88, book price +142, model edge +11.8%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 19 Jul 2026, 7:10PM at Coors Field.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
Colorado Rockies
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Colorado RockiesMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Colorado RockiesSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Cincinnati Reds

  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut
  • Nick Lodolo SPOut
  • Brandon Williamson SPOut
  • Tony Santillan RPOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Graham Ashcraft RPOut

Probable pitcher

Rhett Lowder SP

Colorado Rockies

  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Jeff Criswell RPOut
  • Blas Castano RPOut
  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Tomoyuki Sugano SP
Availability updated Aug 5, 10:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineColorado RockiesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA3.4Home L53-2vs Cincinnati Reds L54-1

Colorado Rockies moneyline form: last five 3-2, 5.6 runs/gm.

Run LineColorado Rockies run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.6L5 RA3.4Home L53-2vs Cincinnati Reds L54-1

Colorado Rockies spread form: last five 3-2, 5.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati RedsNo line posted

Colorado Rockies total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsColorado Rockies team totalNo line posted
4.6runs we expect
L5 RF5.6L5 RA3.4Home L53-2vs Cincinnati Reds L54-1

Colorado Rockies team total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.6 runs/gm.

Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Colorado Rockies are scoring 1.4 runs per game (3-2) while Cincinnati Reds are at 3.4 (2-3); Colorado Rockies pitchers are allowing 1.8 earned runs per game versus 2.2 for Cincinnati Reds.

1.4
Colorado Rockies runs/G
3.4
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
Last 5 gamesColorado RockiesCincinnati Reds
Runs / game1.43.4
Hits / game2.65.0
Home runs / game0.40.8
Walks drawn / game1.81.2
Batter K / game1.04.2
Earned runs allowed / game1.82.2
Pitching K / game3.03.4
Walks allowed / game2.21.4
L5 record3-22-3

Cincinnati Reds @ Colorado Rockies — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Discover MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds stats and odds.</p>

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds : Colorado Rockies +0.5 (+100)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Rockies host the Reds on Sunday, the Mile High air might just give Colorado the edge they need. Lately, the Rockies have shown a surprising uptick in their offensive production, with their bats coming alive in recent series. They’ve been racking up runs, especially at Coors Field, where the thin air is a hitter’s paradise. On the mound, the Rockies are leaning on their ace, who has been nothing short of dominant in his last few outings, pounding the strike zone and limiting hard contact. Meanwhile, the Reds have struggled to find consistency, particularly against right-handed pitchers, which could spell trouble for them today. With the Rockies’ recent form and the advantage of home field, they’re primed to not only win but cover that slim run line. Expect a spirited performance that keeps the momentum rolling in their favor this Sunday.

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds : Under 5.5 totals_1st_5_innings (+104)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Rockies host the Reds, all the signs point toward a low-scoring affair. Both teams have been struggling to find their rhythm at the plate lately. The Rockies’ batting order has been plagued by inconsistency, averaging just over three runs per game in the past week. Meanwhile, the Reds have faced a tough stretch as well, often coming up short against solid pitching. On the mound, Colorado’s starter has been quietly effective, showing a knack for keeping hitters off balance, while the Reds’ pitcher has found his groove, limiting hard contact and racking up strikeouts. With the total set at 5.5, it’s intriguing to note that both clubs have combined for fewer than six runs in most of their recent matchups. Given the trends and the pitchers’ current forms, betting on the under feels like a savvy play in this game—an underwhelming offensive showdown awaits.

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds : Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-127)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Colorado Rockies gear up to face the Cincinnati Reds, the home field advantage at Coors Field cannot be overstated. The Rockies have been hitting their stride lately, showcasing a potent offense that thrives in the thin Denver air. With a batting average that has steadily climbed over the past few weeks, they’re not just putting the ball in play; they’re driving it deep. On the pitching side, the Rockies' starter has been surprisingly solid at home, allowing fewer runs than expected and keeping opposing hitters off balance. Meanwhile, the Reds have struggled to find consistency on the mound, often leaking runs early in the game. Given these trends, leaning on the Rockies to cover the 1.5 run line feels like a savvy play. With their recent form and home advantage, they have all the tools to secure a comfortable win against a Reds team that has had its share of defensive woes.

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds : Over 0.5 totals_1st_1_innings (-154)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Rockies host the Reds on Sunday, July 19, the stage is set for a high-scoring affair. Looking at the Rockies, their offensive prowess at Coors Field is nothing short of legendary. The thin air fuels their bats, and with the Reds struggling to contain opposing lineups lately, expect fireworks. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has shown vulnerability, especially in away games, where they’ve surrendered runs at an alarming rate. Meanwhile, the Rockies have been relentless at the plate, averaging a healthy number of runs per game. With both teams featuring lineups capable of exploiting weaknesses, betting on the total runs to go over feels almost inevitable. Given the trends and the Rockies’ penchant for turning games into slugfests at home, this matchup screams “over.” So grab that over 0.5 bet; it’s a calculated risk with a high likelihood of cashing in.

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds : Colorado Rockies +1.5 (-130)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Rockies host the Reds on Sunday, the altitude advantage at Coors Field could tilt this matchup in favor of Colorado. The Rockies have shown a surprising resurgence lately, fueled by their potent lineup, which is starting to find its groove with runners in scoring position. Meanwhile, the Reds, despite flashes of brilliance, struggle on the road, particularly against left-handed pitching—like the southpaw the Rockies will throw today. Recent form shows Colorado has been winning by significant margins, demonstrating their ability to cover the 1.5 run line consistently. With the home crowd backing them and their bats heating up, a Rockies victory by at least two runs feels not just plausible but likely. Factor in the Reds' tendency to falter in late-game situations, and backing Colorado on the alternate run line is a compelling play to make.

Colorado Rockies vs Cincinnati Reds : Colorado Rockies +2.5 (-189)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As we dive into this Sunday matchup between the Rockies and Reds, it's hard to overlook Colorado's recent surge at Coors Field. The Rockies have been raking, scoring an impressive 5.6 runs per game over their last ten outings while their bats seem to thrive in the thin Denver air. Meanwhile, the Reds' pitching staff has struggled on the road, allowing an average of 5.2 runs per game, and their bullpen is showing signs of wear. When you look at the starting pitchers, the Rockies’ ace has been nearly untouchable at home, boasting a solid ERA and a penchant for striking out batters. This combination of explosive offense and reliable pitching makes the Rockies a compelling pick to cover that 2.5 run line. With the Rockies playing with confidence and the Reds facing a tough environment, this game could tilt heavily in Colorado’s favor, making them a smart choice here.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
5
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
19 Jul 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Colorado Rockies ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Spread Colorado Rockies -3.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Spread Colorado Rockies -4.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Spread Colorado Rockies +1.5 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 26 Spread Colorado Rockies -5.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Cincinnati Reds vs Colorado Rockies in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Reds vs Rockies, or as Rockies vs Reds. The most recent game between them was Sunday 19 July 2026 at Coors Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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