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Model picks & player props
Houston Astros
VS
Chicago White Sox

Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 28, 8:13PM UTC

Our model graded 20 markets for Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox and backs Houston Astros -2.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $350.

MLB
Guaranteed Rate Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Sat 25 Jul 2026, 11:10PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
59.3%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Houston Astros -2.5 Spread +250

The model graded 20 markets for Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $350 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 59.3% across 27 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 25 Jul 2026, 11:10PM at Guaranteed Rate Field.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win43.6%
The price says28.6%
Best price+250
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Houston Astros -2.5 Lean44% chance +250
Moneyline Members only High64% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Members only High60% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean56% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only High62% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Houston Astros and Chicago White Sox last met on Sat 25 Jul 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Houston Astros -2.5 · $100 returned $350

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 51 bookmakers compared
Winner
Sox2.17+117BetUS
Houston Astros1.85-1181xBet
Total runs
Over8.52.01+1011xBet
Under8.51.91-1101xBet
Market cooling on Houston Astros: 1.76 → 1.81 (45 books)

Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox odds by bookmaker

51 books · best price in green
BookSox winHouston Astros winHouston Astros -1.5Over 8.5Under 8.5
1xBet2.09+1091.85-118—2.01+1011.91-110
888sport2.05+1051.75-1332.55+1552.00+1001.80-125
Bally Bet2.04+1041.79-1272.40+1401.93-1081.88-114
BetAnySports2.08+1081.78-1282.60+160——
BetMGM2.10+1101.77-1302.55+1552.00+1001.83-120
BetOnline2.16+1161.78-1282.65+165——
betPARX2.04+1041.79-1272.40+1401.93-1081.88-114
BetRivers2.05+1051.80-1252.40+1401.93-1081.88-114
Betsson2.02+1021.79-1272.56+1561.90-1111.86-116
BetUS2.17+1171.78-1282.64+164——
Bovada2.03+1031.81-1232.65+1651.95-1051.87-115
Coolbet2.08+1081.76-1322.55+155——
Courtside2.04+1041.83-120———
DraftKings2.02+1021.81-1232.59+159——

Since the market opened: Houston Astros to win opened 1.71, best now 1.87; the over 8.5 opened 1.99, best now 2.06 (decimal, best book).

Market cooling on Houston Astros: 1.76 → 1.81 (45 books)

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 125 of 217 right (mlb pitcher outs unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 27
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Houston Astros
-1.5
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Astros

  • Daulton Varsho CFOut
  • Jake Meyers CFOut
  • Brice Matthews CFOut
  • Cristian Javier SPOut
  • Mike Burrows SPOut
  • Enyel De Los Santos RPOut
  • Steven Okert RPOut
  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut

Chicago White Sox

  • Chase Meidroth 2BDay-to-day
  • Luis Castillo SPOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut
Availability updated Sep 26, 8:34PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago White SoxNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.8L5 RA3.6Home L52-3vs Houston Astros L52-3Free board10-10

Chicago White Sox moneyline form: last five 3-2, 5.8 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago White Sox run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.8L5 RA3.6Home L52-3vs Houston Astros L52-3

Chicago White Sox spread form: last five 3-2, 5.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago White Sox vs Houston AstrosNo line posted

Chicago White Sox total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago White Sox team totalNo line posted
4.8runs we expect
L5 RF5.8L5 RA3.6Home L52-3vs Houston Astros L52-3

Chicago White Sox team total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.8 runs/gm.

Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox — recent results

Chicago White Sox have won 3 of their last 5 games; Houston Astros have won 3 of their last 5.

Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–2COLHome
L6–9COLHome
W6–1COLHome
W9–1KCAway
L4–5KCAway
Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W13–2ATHAway
W9–0ATHAway
L5–6ATHAway
W7–5ATHAway
L5–6SEAAway

Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 7 times recently: Chicago White Sox won 2, Houston Astros won 5.

DateChicago White SoxHouston AstrosWinner
Sep 302Houston Astros
Sep 326Houston Astros
Sep 251Chicago White Sox
Sep 136Houston Astros
Jul 26123Chicago White Sox
Jul 2514Houston Astros
Jul 2459Houston Astros

Who’s out or in doubt

18 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Chase Meidroth 2BDAY-TO-DAY
Luis Castillo SPOUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Mike Vasil RPOUT
Tanner Murray LFOUT
Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Daulton Varsho CFOUT
Jake Meyers CFOUT
Brice Matthews CFOUT
Cristian Javier SPOUT
Mike Burrows SPOUT
Enyel De Los Santos RPOUT
Steven Okert RPOUT
Carlos Correa SSOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox — model preview

Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Chicago White Sox playing Houston Astros. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros stats and odds.

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros : Houston Astros +1.5 (-196)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

As the Chicago White Sox gear up to face the Houston Astros, it’s hard to ignore the Astros' recent dominance, particularly with their potent lineup. Houston has been on a tear lately, boasting an impressive average of over five runs per game. Their ability to capitalize on opposing pitchers has been evident, with a team OPS that consistently ranks among the league’s best. On the mound, the Astros are sending out a pitcher who has consistently kept opponents guessing, contributing to their stellar road record. Chicago, while showing flashes of brilliance, has struggled to find their rhythm against top-tier pitching, often faltering in crucial moments. Combine these factors with the fact that Houston has excelled in run differential, and it becomes clear why backing them on the run line makes sense. With the Astros looking to maintain their playoff push, expect them to deliver a decisive victory against the White Sox.

🔒 The other 3 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 3 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
27
Total Picks
59.3%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
25 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 6.5 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Spread Houston Astros -1.5 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Spread Houston Astros +1.5 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Spread Houston Astros -3.5 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Moneyline Houston Astros ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Spread Houston Astros -2.5 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Houston Astros 0.5 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 Spread Houston Astros +1.5 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 8.5 ✗ MISS
24 Jul 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Houston Astros ✗ MISS
24 Jul 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Under 4.5 ✗ MISS
24 Jul 26 Spread Houston Astros +1 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 Spread Houston Astros -1 ✓ HIT
24 Jul 26 Total Runs Under 5.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Astros vs Sox, or as Sox vs Astros. The most recent game between them was Saturday 25 July 2026 at Guaranteed Rate Field. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 59.3% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 26 meetings on record
Houston Astros 16–10 across the last 26 meetings · these games average 7.6 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
3 Sep 2026Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros2–0Houston Astros
2 Sep 2026Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros1–5Chicago White Sox
1 Sep 2026Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros6–3Houston Astros
31 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros6–3Houston Astros
26 Jul 2026Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox12–3Chicago White Sox
25 Jul 2026Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox1–4Houston Astros
24 Jul 2026Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox5–9Houston Astros
12 Jun 2025Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros4–3Houston Astros
11 Jun 2025Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros10–2Houston Astros
10 Jun 2025Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros2–4Chicago White Sox

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 26 meetings on file.

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