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Model picks & player props
Colorado Rockies
VS
Chicago Cubs

Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:18AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Wrigley Field, Chicago
Outdoor
Mon 26 May 2025, 6:20PM
6
Game Picks
6
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Under 9.5 (Team Total Runs)
For Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs (MLB), model win probability 95.3%, fair odds 1.05, book price -1250, model edge +2.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Mon 26 May 2025, 6:20PM at Wrigley Field.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Team Total Runs
Under
9.5
+ 5 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total RunsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Colorado Rockies

  • Jeff Criswell RPOut
  • Brenton Doyle CFOut
  • Jose Quintana SPOut
  • Blas Castano RPOut
  • Jaden Hill RPOut
  • Chase Dollander SPOut
  • Welinton Herrera RPOut
  • McCade Brown SPOut
  • RJ Petit RPOut
  • Pierson Ohl RPOut
  • Kris Bryant DHOut

Probable pitcher

Kyle Freeland SP

Chicago Cubs

  • Trent Thornton RPDay-to-day
  • Phil Maton RPOut
  • Shelby Miller RPOut
  • Hunter Harvey RPOut
  • Ben Brown RPOut
  • Ethan Roberts RPOut
  • Matt Shaw RFOut
  • Daniel Palencia RPOut
  • Edward Cabrera SPOut
  • Hoby Milner RPOut
  • Justin Steele SPOut
  • Riley Martin RPOut
  • Porter Hodge RPOut
  • Cade Horton SPOut
  • Tyler Austin 1BOut

Probable pitcher

Jameson Taillon SP
Availability updated Jul 21, 3:47AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 26 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability26 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jameson Taillon CHC Pitcher - Hits Allowed 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Jameson Taillon CHC Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Kyle Tucker CHC Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Seiya Suzuki CHC Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Brenton Doyle COL Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineChicago CubsNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF6.0L5 RA2.0Home L54-1vs Colorado Rockies L53-2Win rec5-8

Chicago Cubs moneyline form: last five 4-1, 6.0 runs/gm.

Run LineChicago Cubs run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF6.0L5 RA2.0Home L54-1vs Colorado Rockies L53-2ATS8-7

Chicago Cubs spread form: last five 4-1, 6.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Chicago Cubs vs Colorado RockiesNo line posted

Chicago Cubs total runs form: last five 4-1, 6.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsChicago Cubs team totalNo line posted
4.2implied team total
L5 RF6.0L5 RA2.0Home L54-1vs Colorado Rockies L53-2

Chicago Cubs team total runs form: last five 4-1, 6.0 runs/gm.

Colorado Rockies @ Chicago Cubs — model preview

<p>Unlock potential winning baseball bets for Chicago Cubs playing Colorado Rockies. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Analysis includes MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies stats and odds.</p>

Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies : Under 7.5 alternate_team_totals (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Chicago Cubs Under 7.5' for the Team Total Runs is driven by a combination of the Cubs' recent performance and the Rockies' defensive capabilities. Over their last five games, the Cubs have averaged 6.8 runs, which is below the 7.5 line set for this game. Additionally, the Rockies have been solid defensively, allowing just 3.2 runs on average in their last five games, and even when playing away, this only increases to 4.8 runs. Furthermore, the Cubs' batting average over the last five games is 10.6 hits, which is unlikely to produce more than 7.5 runs consistently. Coupled with the Rockies' average pitcher base on balls at 3.2, it suggests a lower scoring game, supporting the under 7.5 runs bet for the Cubs.

Chicago Cubs vs Colorado Rockies : Under 7.5 alternate_team_totals (-417)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Chicago Cubs Under 7.5' for the Team Total Runs is a rational choice given the recent performance data. The Cubs' last five games have seen them average 6.8 runs, which is under the 7.5 line set for this bet. Additionally, the Rockies' pitching has been strong recently, allowing an average of just 3.2 runs overall in their last five games, and 4.8 runs in their away games. This indicates a strong defensive performance that could limit the Cubs' scoring. Furthermore, the Rockies' average of 3.2 pitcher base on balls (Pit Bb) suggests a disciplined pitching that could further suppress the Cubs' run production. Given these statistics, it is statistically probable that the Cubs will score under 7.5 runs. This data-driven analysis makes the 'Chicago Cubs Under 7.5' a solid betting choice.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Monday 26 May 2025 at Wrigley Field. The model has generated 6 game picks and 6 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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