Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jameson Taillon is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed.
On the Pitcher - Hits Allowed market the model assigns a model win probability of 89%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +27.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:40PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Under 5.5
-159 (1.63) · $100→$163
+27.8% Edge
Boston Red Sox
@
Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Mon 10 Aug, 11:07PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
61.3%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Hits Allowed | 89.2% | — | 61.3% | 1.12 | +27.8% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 1/10 |
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Jameson Taillon (CHC) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-159)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Toronto Blue Jays play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jameson Taillon (CHC) Under 5.5 Hits Allowed (-159). That is a Hits Allowed bet. It was priced at -159 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
2 markets livePitcher - Hits AllowedUpcoming gameU 5.5 -159 Jameson Taillon MLB hits allowed. Current line U 5.5 at -159.
Pitcher - Earned RunsUpcoming gameU 2.5 -118 Jameson Taillon MLB earned runs: averaging 2.8 earned runs over the last 5. Current line U 2.5 at -118.
Pitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 2.590%
O 3.570%
O 4.550%
O 5.550%
Jameson Taillon MLB strikeouts: cleared over 2.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted Jameson Taillon MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted 100%hit L10
16avg outs · L5
Streak21L20100%
Jameson Taillon MLB outs: cleared over 10.5 in 100% of the last 10 games; averaging 16 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Jameson Taillon (CHC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jameson Taillon is Under 5.5 on Pitcher - Hits Allowed. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +27.8% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays on Monday 10 August at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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