Patrick Corbin (TEX) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-1250)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Patrick Corbin's recent performance data indicates a strong likelihood of allowing more than 2.5 hits in the upcoming game. Over his last five games, Corbin has allowed an average of 6.2 hits overall and 7.4 hits while playing away. Specifically against the Minnesota Twins, he has allowed an average of 8 hits. His innings pitched (IP) average is also lower when playing away (4.9) compared to his average against the Twins (6), suggesting he tends to allow hits earlier in the game when on the road. Moreover, Corbin is currently on an 8-game hit streak overall and a 23-game hit streak away from home. This consistent trend of allowing a high number of hits, especially when playing away, makes the bet on Corbin for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market a statistically sound choice.

Harrison Bader (MIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Harrison Bader in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, regardless of location or opposition, Bader has averaged 0 stolen bases. Even when considering his home games, his stolen base average only slightly increases to 0.2. Furthermore, his average caught stealing rate at home is also 0.2, indicating a high risk associated with any stolen base attempts. When facing the Texas Rangers, his stolen base average drops back to zero, further supporting the under bet. Despite his current hitting streaks, these do not directly correlate to stolen bases. Therefore, based on Bader's recent performance, the likelihood of him not stealing a base in the upcoming game is statistically high, making the under 0.5 bet a solid choice.

Patrick Corbin (TEX) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Patrick Corbin's recent performance data indicates a strong likelihood of exceeding 0.5 walks in the upcoming game. His average walks allowed over the last five games is 1.4, and when playing away, this average increases to 1.6. This trend is even more pronounced against the Minnesota Twins, with an average of 2.5 walks. Furthermore, his innings pitched and outs averages, both overall and away, suggest he will be on the mound for a sufficient duration to allow a walk. His current hit streaks, both overall and away, further demonstrate a pattern of allowing hits. Given these statistics, the probability of Corbin allowing more than 0.5 walks in the upcoming game is high, making this a solid bet.

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