Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction & Picks, November 7, 2026

For tonight's game, Nikola Jokic needs to score points and grab rebounds, but we're betting he'll stay under 36.5 combined. The Pacers have been pretty tough on rebounds, giving up nearly 45 a game. This could limit Jokic's chances to pile up those stats. Even though Jokic is a star, the Pacers also let opponents shoot a lot of threes, which means they might focus more on their perimeter defense. If the Nuggets rely on outside shooting, Jokic might not get the boards or points he usually would. The biggest risk here is that Jokic could still have a big night despite these challenges.

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets: Obi Toppin Under 1.5 3-Pointers (-110)

Obi Toppin is set to take the court at Gainbridge Fieldhouse, and betting on him to make under 1.5 three-pointers looks promising. The Indiana Pacers have allowed teams to shoot a lot of threes, but Toppin's recent form suggests he may not find many open looks. With the Nuggets also defending the perimeter pretty well, this could limit his chances to knock down shots from long range. The biggest risk here is that Toppin could surprise everyone and hit a couple of threes if he gets hot. However, with the way both teams are playing, it seems more likely that he'll struggle to get the attempts he needs. Overall, there's a good chance this bet holds true.

Indiana Pacers vs Denver Nuggets: Nikola Jokic Under 45.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts (+115)

For Nikola Jokic to go under 45.5 points, rebounds, and assists tonight, he'll need to have a quieter game than usual. The Indiana Pacers are known for giving up a lot of three-point shots and rebounds, but they also force turnovers well. This could disrupt Jokic's rhythm and limit his chances to rack up those stats. Plus, the Nuggets allow fewer rebounds than the average team, so Jokic might find it tougher to hit those numbers. While he's a superstar, the matchup makes it tricky. There's always a risk with such a talented player, but our numbers see this as a strong option.

That is the whole read on this one. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.