Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction & Picks, November 4, 2026

For Kevin Durant to make under 1.5 three-pointers tonight, he needs to face a tough defense from the Minnesota Timberwolves. They do a solid job at limiting the number of threes opponents shoot, allowing just 34 attempts a game. Plus, they force turnovers more often than the average team, which can disrupt the Rockets' rhythm and limit Durant's chances to score from long distance. While Durant can definitely shoot the three, the Timberwolves will be focused on stopping him. The Rockets also allow a lot of rebounds, which might give Minnesota extra chances to control the game. It's not a sure thing since both teams have shown they can compete closely, but there's a good chance Durant stays under that mark tonight.

Houston Rockets vs Minnesota Timberwolves: LaMelo Ball Under 3.5 3-Pointers (+100)

LaMelo Ball is facing the Houston Rockets at the Toyota Center, and it might be a tough game for him to hit three-pointers. The Rockets allow opponents to take a lot of threes, but they also have a knack for forcing turnovers. This could mean LaMelo has less time and space to get his shots off. Plus, the Timberwolves give up a decent number of rebounds, which means LaMelo might not get as many second-chance opportunities. While he can score, the matchup suggests he could struggle to hit more than three three-pointers. The risk here is that both teams are close in giving up those shots, so it may not be an easy win.

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