On Monday 7 September 2026, Genoa play Frosinone in Serie A. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Genoa vs Frosinone: Frosinone +1.5 Goal Handicap, priced at -455 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Genoa vs Frosinone: Frosinone +1.5 Goal Handicap (-455)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the clash between Genoa and Frosinone, the writing seems to be on the wall for the home side. Genoa's recent home form is dismal, with five straight losses and a meager average of just 0.8 goals scored at home, while their opponents have been far more potent on the road, netting an average of 1.2 goals away from home. Frosinone arrives in good spirits, having won three of their last five matches overall, showcasing a solid offensive presence. With Genoa conceding an alarming 2.2 goals per game at home lately, it’s hard to imagine them keeping Frosinone at bay. The stark contrast in current form, combined with the xG metrics suggesting Frosinone's attacking prowess, points to a likely Frosinone win by a margin of at least two goals. Betting on Frosinone -1.5 seems a smart move here.

That is how our model reads Genoa v Frosinone. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article