On Friday 6 November 2026, Arsenal play Hull City in the EPL. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Hull City +2 Goal Handicap, priced at -110 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Arsenal vs Hull City: Hull City +2 Goal Handicap (-110)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Arsenal prepares to host Hull City, it's worth noting the Gunners' recent home dominance, boasting an impressive 5-0-0 record at the Emirates. However, Hull City, despite struggling on the road, has shown resilience, particularly in their last five away matches, managing to score 1.2 goals per game. Notably, Hull's xG numbers, though not stellar, have steadily improved, hinting at untapped potential. While Arsenal's defense has been solid, allowing just 0.4 goals per home game, Hull's ability to find the back of the net, combined with Arsenal's slight inconsistency, suggests a two-goal handicap could be more manageable for the Tigers. With Hull's recent upward trend, they could very well keep the scoreline respectable, making a bet on Hull City +2 an intriguing proposition.

Arsenal vs Hull City: Under 4.5 Total Goals (-385)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Arsenal prepares to host Hull City, the forecast for goals looks rather conservative. Arsenal has showcased their defensive prowess, conceding just 0.4 goals per game at home over the last five matches, while Hull's struggles on the road are evident, averaging only 1.2 goals scored in their last five away outings. With Arsenal's last home games yielding an average of just 2 goals scored, it's clear that their attack is currently more effective at controlling the game than running up the score. Additionally, Hull's recent form indicates they struggle to penetrate well-structured defenses, often finishing games with low xG numbers. Given these trends, betting on under 4.5 total goals feels like the smart play here. In a matchup where both teams seem to favor a tighter contest, expect a game that could very well end in a 2-0 or 1-1 scenario.

That is how our model reads Arsenal v Hull City. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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