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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ryan Angwin is Over 12.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 79%, versus the book's implied 75%, for a model edge of +4.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 7:04PM UTC
AFL

Ryan Angwin

GWS GIANTS

+4.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 12.5 -303 (1.33) · $100→$133
+4.1% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sat 4 Jul, 3:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
79.3%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+4.1%
Predicted Value
16.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals79.3%—75.2%1.26+4.1%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games2/10

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AI Analysis

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Ryan Angwin (GWS GIANTS) Over 12.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet in the AFL, there’s nothing quite like pinpointing a player in the zone. Ryan Angwin of the Greater Western Sydney Giants fits that bill perfectly. Over his last five home games, Angwin has been a midfield maestro, averaging 16.8 disposals per game, comfortably above the 12.5 line set for this matchup against the Fremantle Dockers. His recent form is sparkling, with an impressive disposal efficiency of 77.7% and a knack for gaining valuable meters for his team. With a current hit streak of 3 at home and 4 overall, Angwin is proving to be a reliable accumulator in possession. So, if you're looking for a player likely to snag those crucial disposals, Angwin is your man for this showdown at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
17.8avg disposals L5
Home17.8vs Gold Coast SUNS14.3Season best20
O 15.550%
O 16.530%
O 17.520%
O 18.520%
O 19.520%
O 20.520%
Game log vs line (O 17.5)avg 10.6 · hi 19 · lo 1
41411121141710194

Ryan Angwin has gone over 17.5 disposals in 2 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 17.8 disposals, best 20).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 12.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 11.5 Over -500 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 10.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Ryan Angwin (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Ryan Angwin is Over 12.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.1% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Saturday 4 July at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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