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AFL

Harvey Thomas

GWS GIANTS

Value call

Harvey Thomas (GWS GIANTS) has one live pick today: over 16.5 disposals that pays $183 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
19.5 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 72.7% · the book's price implies 54.6% · gap +18.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sat 4 Jul, 1:35 PM AEST
Harvey Thomas
over 16.5 disposals
Disposals Over 16.5 -120 (1.83) · $100→$183
Value call
HIGHWins about 73 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.30 Odds-120
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harvey Thomas is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 73%, the price says 55%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 24, 10:34AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.7%—54.6%1.38+18.1%

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AI Analysis

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Harvey Thomas (GWS GIANTS) Over 16.5 Disposals (-120)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to dependable midfielders, Harvey Thomas from the Greater Western Sydney Giants stands out as a prime candidate to deliver in the disposals department against the Fremantle Dockers. Thomas has been a force to be reckoned with in his last five home games, boasting an average of 18.2 disposals. His consistency is key, with a remarkable 74.9% disposal efficiency to boot. In his recent encounters with Fremantle, Thomas has shown no signs of slowing down, maintaining an average of 18.2 disposals. With a current hit streak of 4 games both at home and overall, Thomas is in prime form to surpass the line of 16.5 disposals. Expect him to be in the thick of the action, racking up possessions and driving his team forward at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Harvey Thomas averaged 11.3 disposals, 0.4 goals and 2.0 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

11.3
Disposals
0.4
Goals
2.0
Marks
2.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Western Bulldogs), Harvey Thomas recorded 3 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Western Bulldogs3012
10 Aug 24Brisbane Lions5011
4 Aug 24Hawthorn5022
27 Jul 24Melbourne14033
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS11132
14 Jul 24Richmond16131
6 Jul 24Carlton17154
29 Jun 24Adelaide Crows9022
22 Jun 24Sydney Swans17112
16 Jun 24Port Adelaide15125
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 16.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 15.5 Over -175 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 14.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Harvey Thomas (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harvey Thomas is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.1% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Saturday 4 July at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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