Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Harvey Thomas is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 63%, edge +9.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 2:07AM UTC
AFL

Harvey Thomas

GWS GIANTS

+9.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -169 (1.59) · $100→$159
+9.8% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sat 4 Jul, 3:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
19.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.7% · the book's price implies 62.9% · gap +9.8%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.7%—62.9%1.38+9.8%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Harvey Thomas (GWS GIANTS) Over 16.5 Disposals (-169)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Harvey Thomas, the midfield maestro for Greater Western Sydney, is poised to shine on home turf against Fremantle. Over his last five home games, he's been a possession magnet, averaging a stellar 18.2 disposals per game, comfortably surpassing the 16.5 line set for him in this matchup. Thomas boasts an impressive disposal efficiency of 74.9% and has been a key playmaker, racking up 10.2 handballs and 8 kicks on average. His ability to cover the ground is evident, with an average of 244.8 meters gained per game. With a current hit streak of 4 games both at home and overall, Thomas is in prime form to dominate the contest and deliver another standout performance in front of the home crowd at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 5(60%)

Season averages (2024)

Harvey Thomas averaged 11.3 disposals, 0.4 goals and 2.0 marks per game across 22 games in 2024.

11.3
Disposals
0.4
Goals
2.0
Marks
2.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (25 Aug 24 vs Western Bulldogs), Harvey Thomas recorded 3 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
25 Aug 24Western Bulldogs3012
10 Aug 24Brisbane Lions5011
4 Aug 24Hawthorn5022
27 Jul 24Melbourne14033
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS11132
14 Jul 24Richmond16131
6 Jul 24Carlton17154
29 Jun 24Adelaide Crows9022
22 Jun 24Sydney Swans17112
16 Jun 24Port Adelaide15125
Quick answers:How many disposals does Harvey Thomas average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 16.5 Over -169 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 15.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 14.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Harvey Thomas (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Harvey Thomas is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.8% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Saturday 4 July at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.