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The latest Bet Better model pick for Conor Stone is Over 11.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 71%, for a model edge of +0.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 22, 6:32AM UTC
AFL

Conor Stone

GWS GIANTS

+0.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 11.5 -244 (1.41)
+0.3% Edge
Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sat 4 Jul, 3:35AM
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Model Probability
71.2%
Implied Probability
70.9%
Model Edge
+0.3%
Predicted Value
14.3 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals71.2%—70.9%1.40+0.3%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games7/10

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AI Analysis

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Conor Stone (GWS GIANTS) Over 11.5 Disposals (-244)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Conor Stone is primed to shine in the upcoming clash against Fremantle at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka. Over his last five home games, Stone has been a consistent force, averaging a solid 15.4 disposals per game, comfortably exceeding the set line of 11.5. His ability to find the footy, showcased by his 76.8% disposal efficiency, combined with his knack for gaining crucial meters (232.8 average) make him a reliable pick for this prop bet. Facing Fremantle, against whom he has historically performed well, Stone's recent form indicates he's more than capable of surpassing the line once again. With an implied probability of nearly 71% and his recent strong showings, Conor Stone is a compelling choice to snag those crucial disposals and help your betting slip hit paydirt.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
70%hit L10 O 10.5
10.4avg disposals L5
Home14.8vs Sydney Swans13Season best7
O 10.570%
O 11.570%
O 12.560%
O 13.550%
O 14.540%
O 15.530%
Game log vs line (O 10.5)avg 3.6 · hi 7 · lo 1
75425321

Conor Stone has gone over 10.5 disposals in 7 of his last 10 AFL games (last-5 average 10.4 disposals, best 7).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Jul 26 Fremantle Dockers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 11.5 Over -244 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Conor Stone (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Conor Stone is Over 11.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is Fremantle Dockers vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Saturday 4 July at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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