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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brent Daniels is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 61%, edge +11.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:22PM UTC
AFL

Brent Daniels

GWS GIANTS

+11.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
+11.6% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sat 7 Jun, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
17.6 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.9% · the book's price implies 61.3% · gap +11.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.9%—61.3%1.37+11.6%

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AI Analysis

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Brent Daniels (GWS GIANTS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-159)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Brent Daniels is a solid bet to surpass 14.5 disposals against Port Adelaide at home. With a model prediction of 17.6 and a significant edge of 11.6%, Daniels has been performing consistently, averaging 21.2 disposals in his last five home games. His recent form against this opponent also supports this bet, with an average of 15.5 disposals in their last five encounters. Additionally, Daniels has a strong hit rate at home, hitting the mark in 15 out of his last 19 games. Considering his current form, matchup history, and home advantage, Daniels is likely to continue his reliable disposals output in this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Brent Daniels averaged 17.8 disposals, 1.0 goals and 3.2 marks per game across 24 games in 2024.

17.8
Disposals
1.0
Goals
3.2
Marks
4.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (14 Sep 24 vs Brisbane Lions), Brent Daniels recorded 19 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
14 Sep 24Brisbane Lions19002
7 Sep 24Sydney Swans11017
17 Aug 24Fremantle293713
10 Aug 24Brisbane Lions16125
4 Aug 24Hawthorn23145
27 Jul 24Melbourne17288
20 Jul 24Gold Coast SUNS18254
14 Jul 24Richmond14015
6 Jul 24Carlton290511
29 Jun 24Adelaide Crows15021
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Brent Daniels (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brent Daniels is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.6% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Saturday 7 June at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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