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The latest Bet Better model pick for Brent Daniels is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 73%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +11.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:35PM UTC
AFL

Brent Daniels

GWS GIANTS

+11.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -159 (1.63) · $100→$163
+11.6% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Greater Western Sydney Giants
Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra, ACT · Outdoor
Sat 7 Jun, 9:35AM
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Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: overcast, 17°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
72.9%
Implied Probability
61.3%
Model Edge
+11.6%
Predicted Value
17.6 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.9%61.3%1.37+11.6%

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AI Analysis

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Brent Daniels (GWS GIANTS) Over 14.5 Disposals (-159)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Brent Daniels is a solid bet to surpass 14.5 disposals against Port Adelaide at home. With a model prediction of 17.6 and a significant edge of 11.6%, Daniels has been performing consistently, averaging 21.2 disposals in his last five home games. His recent form against this opponent also supports this bet, with an average of 15.5 disposals in their last five encounters. Additionally, Daniels has a strong hit rate at home, hitting the mark in 15 out of his last 19 games. Considering his current form, matchup history, and home advantage, Daniels is likely to continue his reliable disposals output in this game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
19.1avg disposals recent
Season best29
Disposals last 10avg 19.1 · hi 29 · lo 11
15291418172316291119

Brent Daniels has a disposals high of 29 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Brent Daniels (GWS GIANTS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Brent Daniels is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.6% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Greater Western Sydney Giants on Saturday 7 June at Corroboree Group Oval Manuka, Canberra. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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