Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Erica Wheeler is Over 4.5 on Assists.
On the Assists market the model assigns a model win probability of 80%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +26.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:46PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Assists
Over 4.5
-114 (1.88) · $100→$188
+26.7% Edge
Phoenix Mercury
@
Los Angeles Sparks
Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles · Indoor
Wed 12 Aug, 2:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 366 of 467 right
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Implied Probability
53.2%
Predicted Value
5.9 Assists
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Assists | 79.9% | — | 53.2% | 2.00 | +26.7% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 7/10 |
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Erica Wheeler Over 4.5 Assists (-114)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing Los Angeles Sparks play Phoenix Mercury in the WNBA on Wednesday 12 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Erica Wheeler Over 4.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. The game is at Crypto.com Arena in Los Angeles. Our model expects Erica Wheeler to finish with about 5.9 assists. The line for this one is 4.5. Our number sits above that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Erica Wheeler is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Erica Wheeler is Over 4.5 on Assists. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.7% on this pick. Their next game is Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks on Wednesday 12 August at Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.