Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brionna Jones is Under 16.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 65 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 65%, implied 57%, edge +8.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 9:10PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pts+Reb
Under 16.5
-132 (1.76) · $100→$176
+8.6% Edge
Atlanta Dream
@
Connecticut Sun
Mohegan Sun Arena, Connecticut · Indoor
Thu 13 Aug, 11:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba spread calls: 946 of 1,282 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
General manager Dan Padover said Friday that Jones (leg) won't return to game action before the FIBA World Cup break, Meghan L. Hall of USA Today reports.
updated Aug 28, 10:15PM UTC · 1d old
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How often this wins
65 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 65.4% · the book's price implies 56.8% · gap +8.6%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pts+Reb | 65.4% | — | 56.8% | 1.88 | +8.6% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 4/10 |
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Brionna Jones Under 16.5 Points and Rebounds Combined (-132)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing Connecticut Sun play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Friday 14 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Brionna Jones Under 16.5 Points and Rebounds Combined. That is a player points and rebounds combined bet. It was priced at -132 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.60 if it lands. The game is at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. Our model expects Brionna Jones to finish with about 14.7 points and rebounds combined. The line for this one is 16.5. Our number sits below that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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Overall Hit Rate (22 picks)
81.8%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Brionna Jones is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 81.8% on tracked Brionna Jones picks. The latest model pick for Brionna Jones is Under 16.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.6% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun on Thursday 13 August at Mohegan Sun Arena, Connecticut. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.