Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Brionna Jones is Under 10.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 71 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 71%, the price says 56%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 9:40AM UTC
WNBA
Brionna Jones
WNBA
Brionna Jones has one live pick today: Points Under 10.5 that pays $178 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Points
Under 10.5
-128 (1.78) · $100→$178
Value call
Atlanta Dream
@
Connecticut Sun
Mohegan Sun Arena, Connecticut · Indoor
Thu 13 Aug, 11:00PM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 2,501 of 3,328 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Jones will miss the remainder of the season after sustaining a left leg injury against the Sun on Aug. 13, Annie Costabile of The Athletic reports.
updated Sep 17, 4:08PM UTC · 18d old
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How often this wins
71 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 71.0% · the book's price implies 56.2% · gap +14.9%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Points | 71.0% | — | 56.2% | 1.91 | +14.9% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 2/3 |
| Last 5 games | 3/5 |
| Last 10 games | 4/10 |
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Brionna Jones Under 10.5 Points (-128)
Odds available at williamhill_us at time of publishing Connecticut Sun play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Friday 14 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Brionna Jones Under 10.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -128 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.80 if it lands. The game is at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. Our model expects Brionna Jones to finish with about 8.4 points. The line for this one is 10.5. Our number sits below that line. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite.
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Overall Hit Rate (27 picks)
74.1%
Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Brionna Jones is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 74.1% on tracked Brionna Jones picks. The latest model pick for Brionna Jones is Under 10.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.9% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Dream vs Connecticut Sun on Thursday 13 August at Mohegan Sun Arena, Connecticut. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.