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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Naz Hillmon is Over 12.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On Points + Rebounds, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 57%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current WNBA schedule.
Model updated Sep 21, 6:41AM UTC
WNBA

Naz Hillmon

WNBA

Value call

Naz Hillmon has one live pick today: Pts+Reb Over 12.5 that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Pts+Reb Over 12.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
Atlanta Dream @ New York Liberty
Barclays Center, New York · Indoor
Tue 22 Sep, 12:00AM
The recordWhen our formula calls wnba totals unders: 2,044 of 2,746 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
57 in 100
Predicted
14.3 Pts+Reb
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 56.7% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +3.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts+Reb56.7%53.2%2.00+3.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream: Naz Hillmon Over 12.5 Points + Rebounds (-112)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Naz Hillmon has been on a roll lately, and in this game against the New York Liberty, she has a solid chance to shine. The Liberty have been playing tough teams, winning seven of their last ten games, which shows they know how to compete. Meanwhile, the Atlanta Dream have also been doing well, winning eight of their last ten. This matchup is going to be close since both teams are in great form, but Hillmon has room to rack up points and rebounds as she faces a challenging yet beatable defense. One concrete risk is that both teams have faced tough opponents recently, making this a real test for both players and teams. Still, with Hillmon's recent performances and the stakes of the game, betting on her to get over 12.5 points and rebounds feels like a good shot. It's a tight call, but she could come through when it matters most.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (29 picks) 69.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

Naz Hillmon's lines for Tue 22 Sep

Every market the books have posted for her, with the best price we can find, how often she has cleared the line lately, and her last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Pts+Reb 12.5
-114 best over price · 2 booksWent over in 5 of the last 10 gamesHow many points does Naz Hillmon average?

Naz Hillmon's pts+reb line is 12.5, best over price -114 across 2 books. She has gone over it in 5 of her last 10 games.

Rebounds 4.5
+124 best over price · 4 booksWent over in 6 of the last 10 gamesHow many points does Naz Hillmon average?

Naz Hillmon's rebounds line is 4.5, best over price +124 across 4 books. She has gone over it in 6 of her last 10 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Chicago Sky @ Atlanta Dream Pts+Reb 12.5 Over +100 ✗ MISS
19 Sep 26 Chicago Sky @ Atlanta Dream Rebounds 4.5 Over +120 ✗ MISS
19 Sep 26 Chicago Sky @ Atlanta Dream Pts+Reb (Alt) 9.5 Over -238 ✗ MISS
19 Sep 26 Chicago Sky @ Atlanta Dream Rebounds (Alt) Pending
19 Sep 26 Chicago Sky @ Atlanta Dream Pts+Reb Pending
19 Sep 26 Chicago Sky @ Atlanta Dream Pts+Reb (Alt) Pending

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About This Player

Naz Hillmon is tracked by the Bet Better model for WNBA player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 69.0% on tracked Naz Hillmon picks. The latest model pick for Naz Hillmon is Over 12.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.5% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Dream vs New York Liberty on Tuesday 22 September at Barclays Center, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your WNBA betting strategy.

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