Here are our NFL picks for Thursday 15 October 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Garrett Wilson (NYJ) Under 6.5 Receptions, priced at -147 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Garrett Wilson (NYJ) Under 6.5 Receptions (-147)
Odds correct at time of publishing
New England Patriots play New York Jets in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Garrett Wilson (NYJ) Under 6.5 Receptions. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Nico Collins (HOU) Under 5.5 Receptions (+116)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Jacksonville Jaguars play Houston Texans in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Nico Collins (HOU) Under 5.5 Receptions. It was priced at +116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $21.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Brock Bowers (LV) Under 6.5 Receptions (-108)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Las Vegas Raiders play Buffalo Bills in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Brock Bowers (LV) Under 6.5 Receptions. It was priced at -108 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.30 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Emanuel Wilson (SEA) Under 66.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Denver Broncos play Seattle Seahawks in the NFL on Friday 16 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Emanuel Wilson (SEA) Under 66.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jacoby Brissett (ARI) Under 242.5 Passing Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Los Angeles Rams play Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jacoby Brissett (ARI) Under 242.5 Passing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Davante Adams (LA) Over 57.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Los Angeles Rams play Arizona Cardinals in the NFL on Sunday 18 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is Davante Adams (LA) Over 57.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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