New England Patriots vs New York Jets Prediction & Picks, October 18, 2026

Drake Maye needs to rush for under 27.5 yards tonight against the New York Jets. The Jets have a strong defense, making it tough for any quarterback to run effectively. Plus, Maye has been getting used to the NFL, and that can slow down a player's rushing ability. Our numbers show there's a good chance this bet will hit, especially with the Jets being tough to break through. The biggest risk is that Maye might surprise everyone and find some open space to run. But with the way both teams are playing, the under seems like a solid pick.

New England Patriots vs New York Jets: Garrett Wilson Under 73.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Garrett Wilson's receiving yards line is set at under 73.5, and our numbers suggest this is a smart pick. The Patriots' defense has been strong lately, making it tough for wide receivers like Wilson to rack up big yardage. While Wilson has talent, he might struggle against a solid New England defense that can limit big plays. One risk here is that the game could be closer than expected, which might lead to more passing attempts. However, given the Patriots' ability to contain opposing offenses, it's likely Wilson won't hit that high mark this time. The odds at -114 make this a fair bet, and our numbers give it a good chance to work out.

New England Patriots vs New York Jets: Drake Maye Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns (+122)

For this game, Drake Maye needs to throw less than two passing touchdowns for the bet to win. The New England Patriots have a strong defense that knows how to pressure young quarterbacks, which could make it tough for Maye to find open receivers. The Jets' offense has struggled lately, and that could mean fewer chances for scoring plays. While Maye has shown promise, he's still learning and facing a solid Patriots team that can disrupt his rhythm. The matchup is close, and anything could happen, but the Patriots' defense might just keep Maye from hitting that two-touchdown mark tonight.

That is our read — no bet on this board is a sure thing. Prices can move before you get on, so check the board at your bookmaker. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.