Here are our AFL picks for Thursday 10 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 18.5 Disposals, priced at -400 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 18.5 Disposals (-400)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Max Holmes (Geelong Cats) Over 18.5 Disposals. It was priced at -400 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Luke Jackson (Fremantle) Under 19.5 Disposals (-116)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Luke Jackson (Fremantle) Under 19.5 Disposals. It was priced at -116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Patrick Voss (Fremantle) Over 2.5 player_marks_over (-156)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Patrick Voss (Fremantle) Over 2.5 player_marks_over. It was priced at -156 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.40 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Luke Nankervis (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-116)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Luke Nankervis (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals. It was priced at -116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Luke Nankervis (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals (-116)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Brisbane Lions play Adelaide Crows in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Luke Nankervis (Adelaide Crows) Over 14.5 Disposals. It was priced at -116 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Oisin Mullin (Geelong Cats) Over 12.5 Disposals (-114)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Fremantle Dockers play Geelong Cats in the AFL. The bet we are looking at is Oisin Mullin (Geelong Cats) Over 12.5 Disposals. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's AFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article