On Thursday 1 October 2026, Sofia Kenin faces Ashlyn Krueger in tennis. Our model likes one bet here. The one it likes most is Ashlyn Krueger to win the match, priced at -141 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Sofia Kenin vs Ashlyn Krueger: Ashlyn Krueger to win the match (-141)
Odds available at Pinnacle at time of publishing
Sofia Kenin faces Ashlyn Krueger at China Open on Thursday 1 October 2026. They are playing on a hard court. This is a match winner bet, so it lands if Ashlyn Krueger wins the match. It was priced at -141 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.10 if it lands. Our model leans this way without loving it. Ashlyn Krueger presents notable value at 1.71 against Sofia Kenin based on recent hard court performance. Krueger’s last five matches show a solid first serve percentage of 66% and a points won rate of 76% on her first serve, indicating strong service reliability. Additionally, her second serve points won rate of 37% and a break point save percentage of 56% reflect her ability to handle pressure effectively. Conversely, Kenin’s recent form is concerning, with a win rate of only 40% in her last five matches. Furthermore, Krueger's opponents have averaged a 68% first serve percentage and a 71% points won rate, highlighting the challenges Kenin may face against a solid server.
That is how our model reads Sofia Kenin v Ashlyn Krueger. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.