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Model picks & player props
Iga Swiatek
VS
Jessica Pegula

Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula Picks & Predictions

Our model graded 21 markets for Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula and backs Under 23.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $153.

Tennis
Sat 22 Aug 2026, 7:00PM
20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
66.7%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 23.5 Total Games -189

The model graded 21 markets for Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $153 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 66.7% across 21 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 22 Aug 2026, 7:00PM.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win64.9%
The price says60.9%
Best price-189
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Games Under 23.5 High65% chance -189
Total Games Members only Lean60% chance Members
Set 2 Total Games Members only Lean55% chance Members
Set 1 Total Games Members only High86% chance Members
Set 1 Game Handicap Members only Lean59% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean50% chance Members
Set 1 Winner Members only Lean56% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Long-shotup to 35% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Iga Swiatek and Jessica Pegula last met on Sat 22 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Jessica Pegula · $100 returned $305

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Games
Under
21.5
-119
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 60,210+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Jessica PegulaSet 1 Game HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Jessica PegulaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Jessica PegulaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Jessica PegulaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Jessica PegulaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Iga SwiatekSet 1 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Iga Swiatek

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Jessica Pegula

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Moneyline

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesJessica Pegula vs Iga SwiatekNo line posted
69%model under %
1.64fair price
PickUnder 23.5Model69.4%Fair1.64Odds-189

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 23.5 at -189, fair price 1.64; our model makes it 69.4% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapJessica Pegula vs Iga SwiatekNo line posted
57%model cover %
1.89fair price
PickJessica Pegula 4.5Model56.5%Fair1.89Odds-120

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Jessica Pegula 4.5 at -120, fair price 1.89; our model makes it 56.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesJessica Pegula vs Iga SwiatekNo line posted
97%model over %
1.10fair price
PickOver 6.5Model96.6%Fair1.10Odds-5000

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Over 6.5 at -5000, fair price 1.10; our model makes it 96.6% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Game HandicapJessica Pegula vs Iga SwiatekNo line posted
65%model cover %
1.70fair price
PickJessica Pegula 2.5Model64.5%Fair1.70Odds-175

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek — Set 1 Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Jessica Pegula 2.5 at -175, fair price 1.70; our model makes it 64.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerJessica Pegula vs Iga SwiatekNo line posted
63%model win %
1.63fair price
PickIga Swiatek set 1Model62.6%Fair1.63Odds-200

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Iga Swiatek set 1 at -200, fair price 1.63; our model makes it 62.6% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Iga Swiatek @ Jessica Pegula — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Iga Swiatek at Jessica Pegula — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 5 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
21
Total Picks
66.7%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
22 Aug 26 Set 1 Game Handicap Jessica Pegula 2.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Set 2 Total Games Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Set 2 Total Games Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Set 2 Total Games Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Set 2 Total Games Over 8.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 8.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Spread Jessica Pegula +5.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Spread Jessica Pegula +6.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Spread Jessica Pegula +4 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Spread Jessica Pegula +4.5 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Total Games Under 21.5 ✗ MISS
22 Aug 26 Total Games Under 22.5 ✗ MISS
22 Aug 26 Total Games Under 23.5 ✗ MISS
22 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Under 10.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Swiatek vs Pegula, or as Pegula vs Swiatek. The most recent game between them was Saturday 22 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 66.7% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 8 meetings
Even at 4–4 across the last 8 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
22 Aug 2026Jessica Pegula7-5 4-6 6-4Western & Southern Financial Group Women's Open · SemifinalsHard
13 May 2026Iga Swiatek6-1 6-2Internazionali BNL d'Italia · QuarterfinalsClay
28 Jun 2025Jessica Pegula6-4 7-5Bad Homburg Open · The FinalGrass
5 Sep 2024Jessica Pegula6-2 6-4US Open · QuarterfinalsHard
6 Nov 2023Iga Swiatek6-1 6-0WTA Finals · The FinalHard
12 Aug 2023Jessica Pegula6-2 6-7 6-4Canadian Open · SemifinalsHard
18 Feb 2023Iga Swiatek6-3 6-0Qatar Open · The FinalHard
15 Oct 2022Iga Swiatek4-6 6-2 6-2San Diego Open · SemifinalsHard
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