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Model picks & player props
Iga Swiatek
VS
Jessica Pegula

Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 21, 2:30PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Tennis
Sat 22 Aug 2026, 12:00PM
10
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 22 Total Games -128

The model graded 11 markets for Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $178 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 22 Aug 2026, 12:00PM.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win62.8%
The price says54.1%
Best price-128
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Games Under 22 High63% chance -128
Total Games High65% chance —
Total Games Lean56% chance —
Total Games Lean59% chance —
Set 1 Total Games High86% chance —
Set 1 Total Games High87% chance —
Set 1 Total Games Lean47% chance —
Set 1 Total Games High77% chance —
Spread Lean57% chance —
Moneyline × 1 prop Long-shotup to 34% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Games
Under
22
-128
+ 9 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Jessica PegulaSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Iga SwiatekSet 1 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Jessica Pegula on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Jessica Pegula
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

DraftKings
on Jessica Pegula
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Iga Swiatek

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Jessica Pegula

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Moneyline

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

4 markets live
Total GamesNext match · Jessica Pegula vs Iga SwiatekUnder 22 -128
63%model under %
1.85fair price
PickUnder 22Model62.8%Fair1.85Odds-128ConfidenceLEAN

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek — Total Games (tennis). A line is currently posted: Under 22 at -128, fair price 1.85; our model makes it 62.8% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapNext match · Jessica Pegula vs Iga SwiatekJessica Pegula 4.5 -128
57%model cover %
1.86fair price
PickJessica Pegula 4.5Model56.5%Fair1.86Odds-128ConfidenceLEAN

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek — Game Handicap (tennis). A line is currently posted: Jessica Pegula 4.5 at -128, fair price 1.86; our model makes it 56.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerNext match · Jessica Pegula vs Iga SwiatekIga Swiatek set 1 -200
63%model win %
1.63fair price
PickIga Swiatek set 1Model62.6%Fair1.63Odds-200ConfidenceLEAN

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek — Set 1 Winner (tennis). A line is currently posted: Iga Swiatek set 1 at -200, fair price 1.63; our model makes it 62.6% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesNext match · Jessica Pegula vs Iga SwiatekOver 7.5 -714
86%model over %
1.25fair price
PickOver 7.5Model86.2%Fair1.25Odds-714ConfidenceHIGH

Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatek — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). A line is currently posted: Over 7.5 at -714, fair price 1.25; our model makes it 86.2% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Iga Swiatek @ Jessica Pegula — what the model found

Our model graded 11 betting markets for Iga Swiatek at Jessica Pegula — 10 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

10
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 11 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 10 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Iga Swiatek @ Jessica Pegula — where the money went

Since betting opened on Iga Swiatek at Jessica Pegula, the market has moved away from Jessica Pegula across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Jessica Pegula▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Iga Swiatek▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Iga Swiatek vs Jessica Pegula in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Swiatek vs Pegula, or as Pegula vs Swiatek. The next scheduled game is Saturday 22 August 2026. The model has generated 10 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Completed matches · last 8 meetings
Iga Swiatek 5–3 across the last 8 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
13 May 2026Iga Swiatek6-1 6-2Internazionali BNL d'Italia · QuarterfinalsClay
28 Jun 2025Jessica Pegula6-4 7-5Bad Homburg Open · The FinalGrass
5 Sep 2024Jessica Pegula6-2 6-4US Open · QuarterfinalsHard
6 Nov 2023Iga Swiatek6-1 6-0WTA Finals · The FinalHard
12 Aug 2023Jessica Pegula6-2 6-7 6-4Canadian Open · SemifinalsHard
18 Feb 2023Iga Swiatek6-3 6-0Qatar Open · The FinalHard
15 Oct 2022Iga Swiatek4-6 6-2 6-2San Diego Open · SemifinalsHard
8 Sep 2022Iga Swiatek6-3 7-6US Open · QuarterfinalsHard
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