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Model picks & player props
Tennis
Thu 6 Aug 2026, 7:00 PM ET
Lorenzo Musetti
VS
Rafael Jodar

Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael Jodar Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 21 markets for Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael Jodar and backs Lorenzo Musetti -0.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $270.

20
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Lorenzo Musetti
to win
Lorenzo Musetti -0.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$27.00Best price+170
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win49.5%
The price says33.8%

The model graded 21 markets for Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael Jodar (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $270 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 6 Aug 2026, 7:00 PM ET.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Lorenzo Musetti -0.5 Lean49% chance +170
Total Games Members only High63% chance Members
Set 1 Game Handicap Members only Lean60% chance Members
Spread Members only Lean55% chance Members
Set 2 Total Games Members only High98% chance Members
Set 1 Winner Members only Lean51% chance Members
Set 2 Winner Members only Lean51% chance Members
Set 1 Total Games Members only High91% chance Members
Moneyline × 1 prop Highup to 79% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Lorenzo Musetti and Rafael Jodar last met on Thu 6 Aug 2026. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Lorenzo Musetti
+1.5
-104
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Lorenzo MusettiSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Lorenzo MusettiSet 1 Game HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Lorenzo MusettiSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Lorenzo MusettiSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Lorenzo MusettiSet 1 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Lorenzo MusettiSet 2 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Lorenzo MusettiSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Lorenzo MusettiSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Lorenzo Musetti

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Rafael Jodar

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael Jodar: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesRafael Jodar vs Lorenzo MusettiNo line posted
63%model under %
1.87fair price
PickUnder 23.5Model62.9%Fair1.87Odds-132Free board6-4
Free board · recent overs and unders6 / 10 recent

Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 23.5 at -132, fair price 1.87; our model makes it 62.9% (LEAN). On our free board this total games call has landed 6 of 10 times in this matchup.

Game HandicapRafael Jodar vs Lorenzo MusettiNo line posted
55%model cover %
2.05fair price
PickLorenzo Musetti 1.5Model55.3%Fair2.05Odds-104

Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Lorenzo Musetti 1.5 at -104, fair price 2.05; our model makes it 55.3% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesRafael Jodar vs Lorenzo MusettiNo line posted
91%model over %
1.16fair price
PickOver 7.5Model91.2%Fair1.16Odds-1429

Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Over 7.5 at -1429, fair price 1.16; our model makes it 91.2% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Game HandicapRafael Jodar vs Lorenzo MusettiNo line posted
60%model cover %
1.91fair price
PickLorenzo Musetti 1.5Model59.5%Fair1.91Odds-130

Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti — Set 1 Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Lorenzo Musetti 1.5 at -130, fair price 1.91; our model makes it 59.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerRafael Jodar vs Lorenzo MusettiNo line posted
51%model win %
2.22fair price
PickLorenzo Musetti set 1Model50.6%Fair2.22Odds+110

Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Lorenzo Musetti set 1 at +110, fair price 2.22; our model makes it 50.6% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerRafael Jodar vs Lorenzo MusettiNo line posted
51%model win %
2.21fair price
PickLorenzo Musetti set 2Model50.6%Fair2.21Odds+112

Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Lorenzo Musetti set 2 at +112, fair price 2.21; our model makes it 50.6% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Lorenzo Musetti @ Rafael Jodar — what the model found

Our model graded 21 betting markets for Lorenzo Musetti at Rafael Jodar — 20 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 21 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 20 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Lorenzo Musetti vs Rafael Jodar in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Musetti vs Jodar, or as Jodar vs Musetti. The most recent game between them was Thursday 6 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 2 meetings
Rafael Jodar 2–0 across the last 2 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
7 Aug 2026Rafael Jodar6-4 6-3Canadian Open · 3rd RoundHard
31 Jul 2026Rafael Jodar1-6 6-1 6-4Citi Open · QuarterfinalsHard
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