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Model picks & player props
Denis Shapovalov
VS
Rafael Jodar

Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 14, 3:29PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Tennis
Sat 15 Aug 2026, 2:00PM
14
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Denis Shapovalov 3 (Spread)
The model graded 14 markets for Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — GOOD confidence. A $100 bet returns about $212 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 58.0%, fair odds 2.21, book price +112, model edge +12.8%. Tip-off Sat 15 Aug 2026, 2:00PM.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Denis Shapovalov
+3
+112
+ 13 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Denis ShapovalovGame HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denis ShapovalovGame HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denis ShapovalovGame HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denis ShapovalovGame HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denis ShapovalovSet 1 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denis ShapovalovSet 2 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line

Best price right now

Lowvig
on Denis Shapovalov
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Denis Shapovalov

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Rafael Jodar

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

5 markets live
Total GamesNext match · Rafael Jodar vs Denis ShapovalovUnder 23 -145
61%model under %
1.76fair price
PickUnder 23Model61.0%Fair1.76Odds-145ConfidenceLEAN

Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov — Total Games (tennis). A line is currently posted: Under 23 at -145, fair price 1.76; our model makes it 61.0% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapNext match · Rafael Jodar vs Denis ShapovalovDenis Shapovalov 3 +112
58%model cover %
2.21fair price
PickDenis Shapovalov 3Model58.0%Fair2.21Odds+112ConfidenceLEAN

Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov — Game Handicap (tennis). A line is currently posted: Denis Shapovalov 3 at +112, fair price 2.21; our model makes it 58.0% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerNext match · Rafael Jodar vs Denis ShapovalovDenis Shapovalov set 1 +160
2.81fair price
PickDenis Shapovalov set 1Model46.2%Fair2.81Odds+160ConfidenceLONG-SHOT

Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov — Set 1 Winner (tennis). A line is currently posted: Denis Shapovalov set 1 at +160, fair price 2.81; our model makes it 46.2% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerNext match · Rafael Jodar vs Denis ShapovalovDenis Shapovalov set 2 +160
2.81fair price
PickDenis Shapovalov set 2Model46.2%Fair2.81Odds+160ConfidenceLONG-SHOT

Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov — Set 2 Winner (tennis). A line is currently posted: Denis Shapovalov set 2 at +160, fair price 2.81; our model makes it 46.2% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesNext match · Rafael Jodar vs Denis ShapovalovOver 7.5 -1429
91%model over %
1.18fair price
PickOver 7.5Model91.0%Fair1.18Odds-1429ConfidenceHIGH

Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). A line is currently posted: Over 7.5 at -1429, fair price 1.18; our model makes it 91.0% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Denis Shapovalov @ Rafael Jodar — what the model found

Our model graded 14 betting markets for Denis Shapovalov at Rafael Jodar — 14 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

14
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 14 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 13 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Shapovalov vs Jodar, or as Jodar vs Shapovalov. The next scheduled game is Saturday 15 August 2026. The model has generated 14 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Completed matches · last 1 meeting
Denis Shapovalov 1–0 across the last meeting
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
11 Feb 2026Denis Shapovalov6-1 6-2Dallas Open · 1st RoundHard
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