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Model picks & player props
Denis Shapovalov
VS
Rafael Jodar

Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 6:07AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Tennis
Sat 15 Aug 2026, 11:00PM
18
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Denis Shapovalov 3 Spread +112

The model graded 18 markets for Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $212 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 15 Aug 2026, 11:00PM.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win51.3%
The price says45.2%
Best price+112
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Denis Shapovalov 3 Lean51% chance +112
Spread Lean47% chance —
Spread Lean55% chance —
Spread High63% chance —
Set 2 Winner Long-shot37% chance —
Set 1 Winner Long-shot37% chance —
Set 1 Total Games High91% chance —
Set 1 Total Games High78% chance —
Total Games Lean55% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Denis Shapovalov and Rafael Jodar last met on Sat 15 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Denis Shapovalov
+4
-137
+ 17 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Denis ShapovalovSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denis ShapovalovSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denis ShapovalovSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denis ShapovalovSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denis ShapovalovSet 2 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Denis ShapovalovSet 1 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Denis Shapovalov

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Rafael Jodar

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesRafael Jodar vs Denis ShapovalovNo line posted
2.16fair price
PickUnder 21.5Model49.3%Fair2.16Odds+107

Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 21.5 at +107, fair price 2.16; our model makes it 49.3% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapRafael Jodar vs Denis ShapovalovNo line posted
58%model cover %
2.21fair price
PickDenis Shapovalov 3Model58.0%Fair2.21Odds+112

Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Denis Shapovalov 3 at +112, fair price 2.21; our model makes it 58.0% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesRafael Jodar vs Denis ShapovalovNo line posted
82%model under %
1.26fair price
PickUnder 12.5Model82.3%Fair1.26Odds-714

Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 12.5 at -714, fair price 1.26; our model makes it 82.3% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerRafael Jodar vs Denis ShapovalovNo line posted
2.81fair price
PickDenis Shapovalov set 1Model46.2%Fair2.81Odds+160

Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Denis Shapovalov set 1 at +160, fair price 2.81; our model makes it 46.2% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerRafael Jodar vs Denis ShapovalovNo line posted
2.81fair price
PickDenis Shapovalov set 2Model46.2%Fair2.81Odds+163

Rafael Jodar vs Denis Shapovalov — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Denis Shapovalov set 2 at +163, fair price 2.81; our model makes it 46.2% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Denis Shapovalov @ Rafael Jodar — what the model found

Our model graded 18 betting markets for Denis Shapovalov at Rafael Jodar — 18 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

18
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 18 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 17 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Shapovalov vs Jodar, or as Jodar vs Shapovalov. The most recent game between them was Saturday 15 August 2026. The model has generated 18 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 2 meetings
Even at 1–1 across the last 2 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
16 Aug 2026Rafael Jodar7-5 4-6 7-5Western & Southern Financial Group Masters · 2nd RoundHard
11 Feb 2026Denis Shapovalov6-1 6-2Dallas Open · 1st RoundHard
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