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Model picks & player props
Alex de Minaur
VS
Arthur Fils

Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 30, 7:56AM UTC

Our model graded 20 markets for Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils and backs Alex de Minaur 2.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $204.

Tennis
Wed 19 Aug 2026, 5:20PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
60.9%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Alex de Minaur 2.5 Spread +104

The model graded 20 markets for Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $204 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 60.9% across 23 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 19 Aug 2026, 5:20PM.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win66.4%
The price says45.9%
Best price+104
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Alex de Minaur 2.5 High66% chance +104
Spread Members only Lean58% chance Members
Set 1 Winner Members only Lean51% chance Members
Set 2 Winner Members only Lean51% chance Members
Set 1 Game Handicap Members only High63% chance Members
Set 2 Total Games Members only High70% chance Members
Set 1 Total Games Members only High99% chance Members
Total Games Members only Lean59% chance Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Tennis game on today's board →

Alex de Minaur and Arthur Fils last met on Wed 19 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Tennis game priced right now.

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This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Under 22 · $100 returned $202

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Alex de Minaur
+0.5
+125
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Alex de MinaurSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alex de MinaurSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alex de MinaurSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alex de MinaurSet 1 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alex de MinaurSet 2 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alex de MinaurSet 1 Game HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Alex de Minaur

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Arthur Fils

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesArthur Fils vs Alex de MinaurNo line posted
64%model under %
1.72fair price
PickUnder 24.5Model64.4%Fair1.72Odds-167

Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaur — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 24.5 at -167, fair price 1.72; our model makes it 64.4% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapArthur Fils vs Alex de MinaurNo line posted
70%model cover %
2.18fair price
PickAlex de Minaur 2.5Model70.4%Fair2.18Odds+104

Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaur — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alex de Minaur 2.5 at +104, fair price 2.18; our model makes it 70.4% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesArthur Fils vs Alex de MinaurNo line posted
98%model over %
1.09fair price
PickOver 6.5Model98.0%Fair1.09Odds-10000

Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaur — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Over 6.5 at -10000, fair price 1.09; our model makes it 98.0% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Game HandicapArthur Fils vs Alex de MinaurNo line posted
68%model cover %
1.98fair price
PickAlex de Minaur 1.5Model67.6%Fair1.98Odds-120

Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaur — Set 1 Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alex de Minaur 1.5 at -120, fair price 1.98; our model makes it 67.6% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerArthur Fils vs Alex de MinaurNo line posted
59%model win %
2.58fair price
PickAlex de Minaur set 1Model58.5%Fair2.58Odds+143

Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaur — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alex de Minaur set 1 at +143, fair price 2.58; our model makes it 58.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerArthur Fils vs Alex de MinaurNo line posted
59%model win %
2.53fair price
PickAlex de Minaur set 2Model58.5%Fair2.53Odds+138

Arthur Fils vs Alex de Minaur — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alex de Minaur set 2 at +138, fair price 2.53; our model makes it 58.5% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Alex de Minaur @ Arthur Fils — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Alex de Minaur at Arthur Fils — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 4 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
23
Total Picks
60.9%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
19 Aug 26 Set 1 Game Handicap Alex de Minaur 1.5 ✗ MISS
19 Aug 26 Set 2 Total Games Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
19 Aug 26 Set 2 Total Games Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
19 Aug 26 Set 2 Total Games Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
19 Aug 26 Set 2 Total Games Over 8.5 ✓ HIT
19 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 9.5 ✗ MISS
19 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
19 Aug 26 Set 2 Winner Alex de Minaur ✗ MISS
19 Aug 26 Spread Alex de Minaur +0.5 ✗ MISS
19 Aug 26 Spread Alex de Minaur +2.5 ✗ MISS
19 Aug 26 Total Games Under 25.5 ✓ HIT
19 Aug 26 Total Games Under 24.5 ✓ HIT
19 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 8.5 ✓ HIT
19 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Under 12.5 ✓ HIT
19 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 7.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Alex de Minaur vs Arthur Fils in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Minaur vs Fils, or as Fils vs Minaur. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 19 August 2026. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 60.9% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Completed matches · last 4 meetings
Even at 2–2 across the last 4 meetings
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
19 Aug 2026Arthur Fils6-3 6-4Western & Southern Financial Group Masters · 4th RoundHard
10 Feb 2026Alex de Minaur7-6 6-2ABN AMRO World Tennis Tournament · 1st RoundHard
8 Jul 2024Alex de Minaur6-2 6-4 4-6 6-3Wimbledon · 4th RoundGrass
18 Apr 2024Arthur Fils7-5 6-2Barcelona Open · 3rd RoundClay
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