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Model picks & player props
Ben Shelton
VS
Alejandro Tabilo

Ben Shelton vs Alejandro Tabilo Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 20, 6:31PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Tennis
Sat 1 Aug 2026, 12:00AM
19
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Alejandro Tabilo 1.5 (Spread)
The model graded 20 markets for Ben Shelton vs Alejandro Tabilo (Tennis) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $275 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 48.9%, fair odds 2.99, book price +175, model edge +15.5%. Tip-off Sat 1 Aug 2026, 12:00AM.
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Alejandro Tabilo 1.5 · $100 returned $275

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Alejandro Tabilo
+1.5
+175
+ 18 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Alejandro TabiloGame HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro TabiloGame HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro TabiloGame HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro TabiloGame HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro TabiloSet 2 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro TabiloSet 1 Game HandicapThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Alejandro TabiloSet 1 WinnerThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 1 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverSet 2 Total GamesThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Ben Shelton

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Alejandro Tabilo

Player availability is not tracked for Tennis on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Ben Shelton vs Alejandro Tabilo: Tennis weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Tennis on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Moneyline

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total GamesAlejandro Tabilo vs Ben SheltonNo line posted
57%model under %
1.99fair price
PickUnder 24.5Model56.7%Fair1.99Odds-109

Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Shelton — Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Under 24.5 at -109, fair price 1.99; our model makes it 56.7% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Game HandicapAlejandro Tabilo vs Ben SheltonNo line posted
2.99fair price
PickAlejandro Tabilo 1.5Model48.9%Fair2.99Odds+175

Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Shelton — Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alejandro Tabilo 1.5 at +175, fair price 2.99; our model makes it 48.9% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Total GamesAlejandro Tabilo vs Ben SheltonNo line posted
89%model over %
1.21fair price
PickOver 8.5Model89.3%Fair1.21Odds-909

Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Shelton — Set 1 Total Games (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Over 8.5 at -909, fair price 1.21; our model makes it 89.3% (HIGH). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 Game HandicapAlejandro Tabilo vs Ben SheltonNo line posted
62%model cover %
2.00fair price
PickAlejandro Tabilo 1.5Model62.0%Fair2.00Odds-115

Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Shelton — Set 1 Game Handicap (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alejandro Tabilo 1.5 at -115, fair price 2.00; our model makes it 62.0% (LEAN). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 1 WinnerAlejandro Tabilo vs Ben SheltonNo line posted
3.01fair price
PickAlejandro Tabilo set 1Model44.8%Fair3.01Odds+185

Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Shelton — Set 1 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alejandro Tabilo set 1 at +185, fair price 3.01; our model makes it 44.8% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Set 2 WinnerAlejandro Tabilo vs Ben SheltonNo line posted
3.10fair price
PickAlejandro Tabilo set 2Model44.8%Fair3.10Odds+196

Alejandro Tabilo vs Ben Shelton — Set 2 Winner (tennis). BetBetter most recently tracked: Alejandro Tabilo set 2 at +196, fair price 3.10; our model makes it 44.8% (LONG-SHOT). BetBetter tracks this market continuously; free-board results appear here once there are enough of them.

Ben Shelton @ Alejandro Tabilo — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Ben Shelton at Alejandro Tabilo — 19 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

19
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
19
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
01 Aug 26 Total Games Under 24.5 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Total Games Under 23.5 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Total Games Under 26.5 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Total Games Under 25.5 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Spread Alejandro Tabilo +1.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Spread Alejandro Tabilo +2.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Spread Alejandro Tabilo -0.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Spread Alejandro Tabilo +3.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Set 1 Winner Alejandro Tabilo ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Set 2 Winner Alejandro Tabilo ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 8.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
01 Aug 26 Set 1 Total Games Over 10.5 ✗ MISS
01 Aug 26 Set 2 Total Games Over 8.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Ben Shelton vs Alejandro Tabilo in the Tennis. You may also see this matchup written as Shelton vs Tabilo, or as Tabilo vs Shelton. The most recent game between them was Saturday 1 August 2026. The model has generated 19 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Tennis betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Completed matches · last 1 meeting
Alejandro Tabilo 1–0 across the last meeting
DateWinnerScoreTournamentSurface
1 Aug 2026Alejandro Tabilo4-6 7-5 6-4Citi Open · QuarterfinalsHard
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