On Saturday 5 September 2026, Strasbourg play AS Monaco in Ligue 1. Our model likes 3 bets here. The one it likes most is Strasbourg vs AS Monaco: Strasbourg +0.75 Goal Handicap, priced at -208 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Strasbourg vs AS Monaco: Strasbourg +0.75 Goal Handicap (-208)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As Strasbourg prepares to host AS Monaco, there’s a compelling case for backing the home side with a 0.75 handicap. Over their last five games, Strasbourg has been formidable at home, boasting a 3-0-2 record, scoring an average of 2.2 goals while allowing the same. Their ability to create chances is evident, with 13 shots per match and a solid average of 5 on target. Monaco, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency, and despite their attacking pedigree, they’ve been held to just 1.8 xG in recent outings. Strasbourg’s home advantage, coupled with their knack for finding the net, positions them well to not just compete but potentially thrive against a Monaco side that may falter under pressure. With both teams likely to score, taking Strasbourg with a cushion feels like a smart play in this matchup.
Strasbourg vs AS Monaco: Strasbourg +0.5 Goal Handicap (-154)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As Strasbourg prepares to host AS Monaco, recent form tilts the scales in favor of the home side. Strasbourg boasts a solid home record, going 3-1-1 in their last five matches, and their average of 2.2 goals scored at home demonstrates their attacking prowess. While the xG data doesn't jump off the page, the team has consistently created opportunities, averaging over 12 shots per game in those outings. Strasbourg's defense has been resilient, allowing an average of just 2.2 goals in the same span, which suggests a balanced approach. Although their past meetings with Monaco have been a mixed bag, the home advantage can’t be overlooked. With Monaco struggling to assert dominance on the road, backing Strasbourg with a handicap of +0.5 feels like a prudent move to capitalize on their current momentum and home-field energy. Expect a tightly contested match, but Strasbourg should edge it.
Strasbourg vs AS Monaco: Strasbourg +0.25 Goal Handicap (-120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As Strasbourg welcomes AS Monaco to their home turf, the momentum is decidedly in the hosts' favor. With a solid 3-1-1 record in their last five matches and an impressive home average of 2.2 goals, Strasbourg is no stranger to finding the back of the net. They've shown resilience and a knack for scoring, which is crucial against a Monaco side that has struggled to assert their dominance in recent outings. While Strasbourg's expected goals (xG) numbers might not jump off the page, their ability to generate 13 shots per game at home hints at a potent attack creating chances. Monaco's inconsistency, coupled with Strasbourg's balanced approach, makes the 0.25 handicap a compelling bet. With home advantage and recent form on their side, Strasbourg looks primed to secure at least a draw, if not a victory, making this a savvy play.
That is how our model reads Strasbourg v AS Monaco. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
Unlock the rest of this one
You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.
Unlock the full article