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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lorenzo Lucca is Yes on Anytime Goal.
On Anytime Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 42 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 42%, implied 31%, edge +11.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 10:14PM UTC
Soccer

Lorenzo Lucca

Udinese

+11.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Goal Yes +220 (3.20) · $100→$320
+11.1% Edge
Napoli @ AS Roma
Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Lazio · Outdoor
Sun 30 Nov, 7:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer draw no bet calls: 34 of 77 right
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
42 in 100
Predicted
0.4 Anytime Goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 42.3% · the book's price implies 31.3% · gap +11.1%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Goal42.3%31.3%2.36+11.1%

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AI Analysis

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Lorenzo Lucca (Udinese) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+220)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on Lorenzo Lucca as an anytime goalscorer is a reasonable choice based on his recent performance. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his overall hit rate in the last 14 games is nearly 43%, and his away hit rate in the last 8 games is 37.5%. This implies that Lucca has a consistent scoring record, particularly in away games. Furthermore, his average shots per game, both overall and away, suggest that he frequently has scoring opportunities. Specifically, his average of 2 shots per away game, with a 30% accuracy rate (0.6 shots on target), indicates a decent likelihood of scoring. Although his recent goal average is low, the frequency and accuracy of his shots provide a solid basis for this bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Lorenzo Lucca — 2024 season

Lorenzo Lucca scored 0 goals with 1 assist in 4 Serie A appearances for Udinese in the 2024 season, from 6 shots (3 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.7.

0
Goals
1
Assists
0.7
xG
6
Shots
3
On target
6
Key passes
4
Apps
246
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Lorenzo Lucca (Udinese) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lorenzo Lucca is Yes on Anytime Goal. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.1% on this pick. Their next game is Napoli vs AS Roma on Sunday 30 November at Stadio Olimpico, Rome. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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