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Model picks & player props
Empoli
VS
Monza

Empoli vs Monza Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 7:31PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
U-Power Stadium, Monza
Outdoor
Sun 18 May 2025, 6:45PM
6
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Monza Draw No Bet +230

The model graded 6 markets for Empoli vs Monza (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $330 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 18 May 2025, 6:45PM at U-Power Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win52.9%
The price says30.3%
Best price+230
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Draw No Bet Monza Lean53% chance +230
Both Teams to Score Lean60% chance —
Moneyline Long-shot31% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot31% chance —
Moneyline Long-shot37% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot37% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Yes · $100 returned $200

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 34 of 77 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Frosinone
Frosinone @ Fiorentina
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $420
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Draw No Bet
Monza
+230
+ 5 more markets
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All 6 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,376+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
MonzaDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
MonzaMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
MonzaHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Empoli

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Monza

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Empoli vs Monza: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineEmpoli @ MonzaNo line posted
2-1-2past meetings (last 5)
Home form2-2-16Away form1-6-13
past meetings, home wins2 / 5 home

In their last 5 meetings, Monza have won 2, drawn 1 and lost 2. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Draw No BetEmpoli @ MonzaNo line posted
53%Monza win %
2-1-2past meetings (last 5)
Home GF/g0.7Away GF/g0.8

Monza to win with the stake returned on a draw; the model prices this at 53%. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreEmpoli @ MonzaNo line posted
60%both teams score %
1 / 5past meetings, both scored
Monza50%Empoli60%
past meetings, both scored1 / 5 both scored

Both teams scored in 50% of Monza's and 60% of Empoli's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsEmpoli @ MonzaNo line posted
2 / 5past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.560%Away ov2.555%past meetings avg1.8
past meetings, over 2.52 / 5 over

The last 5 meetings averaged 1.8 goals, over 2.5 in 2 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Empoli @ Monza — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for Empoli at Monza — 6 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
18 May 25 Both Teams to Score Yes ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Empoli vs Monza in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 18 May 2025 at U-Power Stadium. The model has generated 6 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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