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Model picks & player props
Philadelphia Union
VS
New York City FC

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 9, 8:59PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 10:00PM
14
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Philadelphia Union Draw No Bet +250

The model graded 14 markets for Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $350 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 16 Aug 2026, 10:00PM.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win37.5%
The price says27.4%
Best price+250
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Draw No Bet Philadelphia Union Long-shot37% chance +250
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot28% chance
Moneyline Long-shot28% chance
Spread High94% chance
Spread High98% chance
Head to Head (3-Way) Long-shot26% chance
Moneyline Long-shot26% chance
Draw No Bet High63% chance
Spread High68% chance
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Philadelphia Union and New York City FC last met on Sun 16 Aug 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.

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This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Philadelphia Union · $100 returned $350

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 57 of 117 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 7
Cagliari
Lecce @ Cagliari
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $162
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Draw No Bet
Philadelphia Union
+ 13 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Philadelphia UnionDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia UnionHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia UnionMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia UnionSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia UnionSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York City FCDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia UnionSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Philadelphia UnionSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York City FCHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York City FCMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Philadelphia Union

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

New York City FC

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Philadelphia Union @ New York City FC — what the model found

Our model graded 14 betting markets for Philadelphia Union at New York City FC — 14 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

14
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 14 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 13 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC — recent results

New York City FC have won 1 of their last 5 games; Philadelphia Union have won 5 of their last 5.

New York City FC — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
D0–0NSHHome
D1–1TORAway
L2–3PHIHome
D1–1TORHome
W3–1CHIHome
Philadelphia Union — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W2–0MTLHome
W3–1RBNYAway
W3–2NYCAway
W3–2ATLHome
W1–0SEAHome

Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC — recent meetings

These two have met 1 time recently: New York City FC won 0, Philadelphia Union won 1.

DateNew York City FCPhiladelphia UnionWinner
Aug 1623Philadelphia Union

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
13
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
16 Aug 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Draw ✗ MISS
16 Aug 26 Head to Head (3-Way) New York City FC ✗ MISS
16 Aug 26 Head to Head (3-Way) Philadelphia Union ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Draw No Bet New York City FC ✗ MISS
16 Aug 26 Draw No Bet Philadelphia Union ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Moneyline New York City FC ✗ MISS
16 Aug 26 Spread Philadelphia Union +1.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread Philadelphia Union +3.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread Philadelphia Union +4.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread Philadelphia Union +2.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Moneyline Draw ✗ MISS
16 Aug 26 Moneyline Philadelphia Union ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Goals Under 6.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Philadelphia Union vs New York City FC in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 16 August 2026. The model has generated 14 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 1 meeting
Philadelphia Union 1–0 across the last meeting
DateGameScoreWinner
16 Aug 2026Philadelphia Union @ New York City FC2–3Philadelphia Union
Today's selected board

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