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Model picks & player props
New York Red Bulls
VS
New York City FC

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 14, 4:17AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Fri 18 Sep 2026, 11:30PM
14
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Under 3.5 Total Goals -161

The model graded 14 markets for New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $162 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Fri 18 Sep 2026, 11:30PM.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win72.3%
The price says57.6%
Best price-161
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Goals Under 3.5 High72% chance -161
Total Goals Lean50% chance —
Both Teams to Score Lean49% chance —
Total Goals High87% chance —
Total Goals High95% chance —
Total Goals Long-shot25% chance —
Total Goals High98% chance —
Draw No Bet High73% chance —
Spread High64% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
New York City FC are the model's favourite to beat New York Red Bulls, with a 54% chance to win. Kick-off Fri 18 Sep, 11:30PM. Best bet: Under 3.5 at -161.
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 44 bookmakers compared
Winner
Bulls4.00+300Coolbet
Draw4.35+335Kalshi
FC4.00+300Kalshi
Total goals
Over3.52.27+127Kalshi
Under3.51.73-137Unibet Se
Market cooling on New York Red Bulls: 3.74 → 4.02 (25 books)

New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC odds by bookmaker

44 books · best price in green
BookBulls winFC winFC -0.5Over 3.5Under 3.5
1xBet3.96+2961.85-118—2.26+1261.70-143
BetOnline3.82+2821.82-1221.82-122——
Bovada3.75+2751.81-1231.82-122——
Coolbet4.00+3001.78-128———
GTbets3.99+2991.83-1201.76-1322.22+1221.64-156
LowVig3.82+2821.82-1221.82-122——
MyBookie3.95+2951.74-1351.72-1392.16+1161.62-161
Pinnacle3.83+2831.82-1221.83-120——
Bally Bet3.50+2501.85-118—2.06+1061.73-137
BetMGM3.80+2801.80-125—2.15+1151.61-164
betPARX3.50+2501.85-118—2.06+1061.73-137
BetRivers3.50+2501.85-118—2.06+1061.73-137
Betsson3.70+2701.82-122———
Casumo3.50+2501.85-118—2.06+1061.73-137

Since the market opened: FC to win opened 1.79, best now 4.00; the over 3.5 opened 2.05, best now 2.35 (decimal, best book).

Market cooling on New York Red Bulls: 3.74 → 4.02 (25 books)
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 72 of 151 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 13
Lecce
Monza @ Lecce
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $176
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Goals
Under
4.5
-385
+ 13 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York City FCDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York City FCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York City FCHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York City FCMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
New York City FCSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Over on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Over
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Polymarket
on Over
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Red Bulls

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

New York City FC

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

1 market live
Total GoalsNew York Red Bulls @ New York City FCUnder +3.5 -161
72%model over %

New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls total-goals angle; the model prices Under at 72% here.

New York Red Bulls @ New York City FC — what the model found

Our model graded 14 betting markets for New York Red Bulls at New York City FC — 14 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

14
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 14 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 13 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC — recent results

New York City FC have won 0 of their last 5 games; New York Red Bulls have won 0 of their last 0.

New York City FC — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2NEHome
D0–0NSHHome
D1–1TORAway
L2–3PHIHome
D1–1TORHome

New York Red Bulls @ New York City FC — where the money went

Since betting opened on New York Red Bulls at New York City FC, the market has moved away from Over across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Total Points — Over 3.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 3.5▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — New York Red Bulls▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — New York City FC▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Draw▲ Money came for this
Spread — New York Red Bulls 0.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — New York City FC -0.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Red Bulls vs New York City FC in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Friday 18 September 2026. The model has generated 14 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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