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Soccer

Clinton Mata

Lyon

Value call

Clinton Mata has one live pick today: over 0.5 shots on target that pays $950 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
19 in 100
Predicted
0.0 shots on target
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 19.4% · before adjusting for past results 23.4% · the book's price implies 10.5% · gap +8.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Lyon @ RC Lens
Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens, Hauts-de-France · Outdoor
Fri 9 Oct, 8:45 PM CEST
Clinton Mata
over 0.5 shots on target
Shots on Target Over 0.5 +850 (9.50) · $100→$950
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 19 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$95.00 Odds+850
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Clinton Mata is Over 0.5 on Shots on Target.
On Shots on Target, our numbers say this bet wins about 19 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 19%, the price says 11%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 4:30AM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Target23.4%19.4%10.5%5.15+12.9%

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AI Analysis

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Clinton Mata (Lyon) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (+850)

Odds correct at time of publishing

When you think of Clinton Mata, you might not immediately picture him as a goal-scoring threat, but that’s exactly why his prop bet for over 0.5 shots on target deserves a closer look. Playing away at RC Lens, Mata has been quietly influential in Lyon’s attacking play, even if his recent stats don’t scream “goal scorer.” While he's averaged just 0.2 shots on target in away matches lately, the game’s context plays a crucial role. Lyon will need to push forward against a resilient Lens side, creating space for Mata to exploit. He’s not just a defender; he has the ability to find himself in promising positions, especially with Lens likely focused on their more prominent attackers. Given the stakes of this matchup, the opportunity for Mata to get a shot on target is ripe for the picking. Sometimes, you have to trust the process over the numbers, and Mata could just surprise us.

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Pick History & Track Record

Clinton Mata — 2024 season

Clinton Mata scored 0 goals with 0 assists in 4 Ligue 1 appearances for Lyon in the 2024 season, from 1 shots (0 on target) and an expected-goals total of 0.0.

0
Goals
0
Assists
0.0
xG
1
Shots
0
On target
0
Key passes
4
Apps
290
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Clinton Mata (Lyon) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Clinton Mata is Over 0.5 on Shots on Target. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +12.9% on this pick. Their next game is Lyon vs RC Lens on Friday 9 October at Stade Bollaert-Delelis, Lens. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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