Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Log in
Model picks & player props
Newcastle United
VS
Leeds United

Newcastle United vs Leeds United Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 9, 3:05PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Elland Road, Leeds
Outdoor
Mon 14 Sep 2026, 7:00PM
20
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Newcastle United 2.5 Spread -2000

The model graded 20 markets for Newcastle United vs Leeds United (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $105 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 14 Sep 2026, 7:00PM at Elland Road.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win92.1%
The price says88.4%
Best price-2000
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Newcastle United 2.5 High92% chance -2000
Spread High98% chance —
Spread Lean60% chance —
Draw No Bet Lean46% chance —
Spread Lean46% chance —
Spread High80% chance —
Spread High91% chance —
Spread Lean52% chance —
Spread Long-shot39% chance —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Every Soccer game on today's board →
Leeds United are the model's favourite to beat Newcastle United, with a 62% chance to win. Kick-off Mon 14 Sep, 7:00PM at Elland Road. Best bet: Newcastle United 2.5 at -2000.
How they've been scoring this season
Newcastle UnitedLeeds United
Won-lost1-0-21-0-2
Goals scored per game2.01.0
Goals allowed per game1.30.7
On the road / at home1-0-0 away0-0-1 at home
Last 5 gamesDWDWDD
Their games average 2.5 total goals this season.
From the 3 Newcastle United and 3 Leeds United games on our books this season.
Unlock every pick for this game

Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 38 bookmakers compared
Winner
United3.00+200Matchbook
Draw3.60+260Matchbook
Leeds United2.52+152Matchbook
Total goals
Over2.51.84-119Matchbook
Under2.52.10+110Matchbook

Newcastle United vs Leeds United odds by bookmaker

38 books · best price in green
BookUnited winLeeds United winLeeds United 0Over 2.5Under 2.5
BetOnline2.96+1962.43+1431.75-1331.78-1282.04+104
BetUS2.90+1902.40+1401.78-1281.78-1282.08+108
Bovada2.90+1902.40+140—1.78-1282.08+108
LowVig2.96+1962.43+1431.75-1331.78-1282.04+104
Matchbook3.00+2002.52+1521.82-1221.84-1192.10+110
MyBookie2.77+1772.37+137—1.71-1412.01+101
Bally Bet2.95+1952.38+138—1.82-1221.95-105
BetMGM2.80+1802.40+140—1.74-1351.98-102
betPARX2.90+1902.33+133—1.82-1221.95-105
BetRivers2.95+1952.38+138—1.82-1221.95-105
Casumo2.95+1952.38+138—1.82-1221.95-105
Grosvenor2.95+1952.38+138—1.81-1231.94-106
Kalshi2.94+1942.50+150—1.82-1222.08+108
LeoVegas2.75+1752.35+135—1.70-1432.02+102

Since the market opened: Leeds United to win opened 2.46, best now 2.53; the over 2.5 opened 1.74, best now 1.87 (decimal, best book).

Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 56 of 116 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 7
Cagliari
Lecce @ Cagliari
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $162
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Newcastle United
+1.5
-588
+ 19 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

All 20 game markets and 0 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,700+ members.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Leeds UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Newcastle UnitedMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
DrawHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal GoalsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market drifted away from Newcastle United on this game.

Line movement

▼ moved toward Newcastle United
Exact move size 🔒 Pro

Best price right now

Kalshi
on Draw
Best-price gain 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Newcastle United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Leeds United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Newcastle United vs Leeds United: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNewcastle United @ Leeds UnitedNo line posted
3-5-12Leeds United form 2022-23
Newcastle Un38%Home form3-5-12

Leeds United vs Newcastle United moneyline.

Newcastle United @ Leeds United — what the model found

Our model graded 20 betting markets for Newcastle United at Leeds United — 20 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 20 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 19 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
Unlock every pick
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

Newcastle United @ Leeds United — where the money went

Since betting opened on Newcastle United at Leeds United, the market has moved away from Newcastle United across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Spread — Newcastle United 0▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Leeds United 0▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Newcastle United▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Leeds United▲ Money came for this
Spread — Leeds United -0.5▲ Money came for this
Spread — Newcastle United 0.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Under 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Total Points — Over 2.5▲ Money came for this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Newcastle United vs Leeds United in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Monday 14 September 2026 at Elland Road. The model has generated 20 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 8 meetings on record
Even at 2–2 across the last 8 meetings · 4 draws · these games average 3.0 goals (meetings on record since 2020)
DateGameScoreWinner
7 Jan 2026Leeds United @ Newcastle United4–3Newcastle United
30 Aug 2025Newcastle United @ Leeds United0–0Draw
13 May 2023Newcastle United @ Leeds United2–2Draw
31 Dec 2022Leeds United @ Newcastle United0–0Draw
22 Jan 2022Newcastle United @ Leeds United0–1Newcastle United
17 Sep 2021Leeds United @ Newcastle United1–1Draw
26 Jan 2021Leeds United @ Newcastle United1–2Leeds United
16 Dec 2020Newcastle United @ Leeds United5–2Leeds United
Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.