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Model picks & player props
Newcastle United
VS
Arsenal

Newcastle United vs Arsenal Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 6, 7:16PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
Emirates Stadium, London
Outdoor
12
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Arsenal Draw No Bet -227

The model graded 13 markets for Newcastle United vs Arsenal (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $144 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win90.4%
The price says69.4%
Best price-227
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Draw No Bet Arsenal High90% chance -227
Both Teams to Score High65% chance —
Head to Head (3-Way) Lean53% chance —
Moneyline Lean53% chance —
Anytime Goal × 1 prop Highup to 61% —
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 48 of 102 right (soccer draw no bet calls)
This bet type · last timeSep 6
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Draw No Bet
Arsenal
-227
+ 11 more markets
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All 12 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,592+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
ArsenalDraw No BetThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
YesBoth Teams to ScoreThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ArsenalHead to Head (3-Way)The model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
ArsenalMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Newcastle United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Arsenal

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Newcastle United vs Arsenal: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Alexander Isak Newcastle United Anytime Goal

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineNewcastle United @ ArsenalNo line posted
53%Arsenal win %
10-8-2Arsenal form 2024-25
Draw33%Home form10-8-2

Arsenal vs Newcastle United moneyline; the model reads Arsenal's win chance at 53% for this fixture. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Newcastle United @ Arsenal — what the model found

Our model graded 13 betting markets for Newcastle United at Arsenal — 12 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

12
Game markets graded
1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 13 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 12 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Newcastle United vs Arsenal in the Soccer. The model has generated 12 game picks and 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 34 meetings on record
Arsenal 25–5 across the last 34 meetings · 4 draws · these games average 2.5 goals (meetings on record since 2007)
DateGameScoreWinner
25 Apr 2026Newcastle United @ Arsenal1–0Arsenal
28 Sep 2025Arsenal @ Newcastle United1–2Arsenal
18 May 2025Newcastle United @ Arsenal1–0Arsenal
2 Nov 2024Arsenal @ Newcastle United1–0Newcastle United
24 Feb 2024Newcastle United @ Arsenal4–1Arsenal
4 Nov 2023Arsenal @ Newcastle United1–0Newcastle United
7 May 2023Arsenal @ Newcastle United0–2Arsenal
3 Jan 2023Newcastle United @ Arsenal0–0Draw
16 May 2022Arsenal @ Newcastle United2–0Newcastle United
27 Nov 2021Newcastle United @ Arsenal2–0Arsenal

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 34 meetings on file.

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