Model picks & player props
Auxerre
VS
Brest
Auxerre vs Brest Picks & Predictions
Model updated Sep 20, 9:30AM UTC
Our model graded 3 markets for Auxerre vs Brest and backs Auxerre hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $310.
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Auxerre Draw No Bet +210
The model graded 3 markets for Auxerre vs Brest (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $310 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 4 Jan 2026, 4:15PM at Stade Francis-Le Blé.
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win49.6%
The price says32.3%
Best price+210
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
| Draw No Bet |
Auxerre |
Lean50% chance |
+210 |
| Head to Head (3-Way) |
Members only |
Long-shot30% chance |
Members |
| Moneyline |
Members only |
Long-shot30% chance |
Members |
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Auxerre and Brest last met on Sun 4 Jan 2026. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.
This game is done
Today’s board is live — the model has already graded tonight’s games.
Best price on this game
Odds checked in the last few minutes · 54 bookmakers comparedWinnerBrest2.43+143Leovegas Se
Draw3.65+265Betfair Ex Eu
Auxerre3.21+2211xBet
Total goalsOver2.51.83-120Unibet Se
Under2.52.22+122Kalshi
Market cooling on Auxerre: 2.53 → 3.00 (53 books)
Auxerre vs Brest odds by bookmaker
54 books · best price in green| Book | Brest win | Auxerre win | Auxerre 0 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|
| 1xBet | 2.35+135 | 3.21+221 | 2.32+132 | 1.79-127 | 2.19+119 |
|---|
| BetOnline | 2.34+134 | 3.10+210 | 2.16+116 | 1.75-133 | 2.15+115 |
|---|
| BetUS | 2.30+130 | 3.05+205 | 2.05+105 | 1.74-135 | 2.05+105 |
|---|
| Bovada | 2.25+125 | 3.00+200 | — | 1.77-130 | 2.10+110 |
|---|
| Coolbet | 2.40+140 | 3.00+200 | — | 1.81-123 | 2.09+109 |
|---|
| GTbets | 2.39+139 | 3.05+205 | — | 1.74-135 | 2.05+105 |
|---|
| LowVig | 2.34+134 | 3.10+210 | 2.16+116 | 1.75-133 | 2.15+115 |
|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.32+132 | 3.20+220 | — | — | — |
|---|
| Bally Bet | 2.33+133 | 2.88+188 | — | 1.79-127 | 1.96-104 |
|---|
| BetMGM | 2.30+130 | 2.95+195 | — | 1.74-135 | 1.98-102 |
|---|
| betPARX | 2.33+133 | 2.88+188 | — | 1.79-127 | 1.96-104 |
|---|
| BetRivers | 2.33+133 | 2.88+188 | — | 1.79-127 | 1.96-104 |
|---|
| Betsson | 2.28+128 | 3.05+205 | — | 1.72-139 | 2.15+115 |
|---|
| Casumo | 2.33+133 | 2.88+188 | — | 1.79-127 | 1.96-104 |
|---|
Since the market opened: Auxerre to win opened 2.60, best now 3.21; the over 2.5 opened 1.87, best now 1.83 (decimal, best book).
Market cooling on Auxerre: 2.53 → 3.00 (53 books)
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact.
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 74 of 157 right (soccer draw no bet calls)This bet type · last timeSep 14
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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AJ Auxerre
Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.
Stade Brestois
Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.
For Auxerre vs Brest: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.
General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.
Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view
See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Betting angles
Markets & formMoneylineAuxerre @ BrestNo line posted 1-2-1past meetings (last 4)
Draw27%Home form10-4-6Away form5-8-7
past meetings, home wins1 / 4 home
In their last 4 meetings, Brest have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 1. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.
Both Teams to ScoreAuxerre @ BrestNo line posted 60%both teams score %
2 / 4past meetings, both scored
Brest60%Auxerre55%
past meetings, both scored2 / 4 both scored
Both teams scored in 60% of Brest's and 55% of Auxerre's recent matches; our model makes both teams scoring 60% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.
Total GoalsAuxerre @ BrestNo line posted 2 / 4past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.560%Away ov2.550%past meetings avg2.5
past meetings, over 2.52 / 4 over
The last 4 meetings averaged 2.5 goals, over 2.5 in 2 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.
Auxerre @ Brest — what the model found
Our model graded 3 betting markets for Auxerre at Brest — 3 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.
The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 3 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.
🔒 The other 2 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Auxerre @ Brest — model preview
Winning soccer bets for Brest vs Auxerre? We break down Ligue 1 odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA player props. Explore same game parlay, SGP picks, Ligue 1 parlay odds, soccer parlay.
Brest vs Auxerre: Auxerre Draw No Bet (+210)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Auxerre appears to be a solid choice for the Draw No Bet market based on their recent performance data. Over the last five games, Auxerre has a better overall win-draw-loss (WDL) record than Brest (3-1-1 vs 2-2-1). Moreover, Auxerre also has a lower average opponent score (0.4 vs 0.8), indicating a stronger defensive performance. Though both teams have the same team score average (1.4), Auxerre's expected goals (xG) are higher at 1.82 compared to Brest's 1.54, suggesting they create more high-quality scoring opportunities. Additionally, Auxerre's record against Brest in their last five encounters is evenly matched (1-1-1), demonstrating their capability to compete effectively against Brest. Given these statistics, betting on Auxerre in the Draw No Bet market is a reasonable choice.
Ludovic Ajorque (Brest) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+170)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Betting on Ludovic Ajorque to score anytime is a good choice based on his performance data. Ajorque's goal average improves significantly when playing at home, rising from 0.2 to 0.6. Moreover, his shot average also increases at home, indicating more scoring opportunities. His shots on target average triples at home, which suggests a higher likelihood of scoring. His recent performance also supports this bet, with a hit rate of 60% at home in the last 5 games. Even though his current hit streak is zero, his overall hit rate in the last 10 games is strong at 60%. Given these statistics, Ajorque's chances of scoring in the upcoming game are promising.
Brest vs Auxerre: Auxerre Moneyline (+340)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Auxerre's recent performance makes them a solid bet for the match winner. Over the last five matches, Auxerre has a better overall win-draw-loss (WDL) record (3-1-1) compared to Brest (2-2-1). Auxerre's average team score (1.4) equals Brest's, but they've been more effective in defense, allowing only 0.4 goals on average compared to Brest's 0.8. Additionally, Auxerre's expected goals (xG) average (1.82) is higher than Brest's (1.54), indicating that they create more high-quality chances. Although Brest has the home advantage, their home record is not impressive (2-2-1), and they concede as many goals at home (1.6) as they score. Auxerre's away performance is also commendable with a higher shots on target average (4.2) than Brest (3.2). These statistics suggest that Auxerre has a fair chance of winning this match.
🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Auxerre vs Brest in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 4 January 2026 at Stade Francis-Le Blé. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.