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Model picks & player props
Toulouse
VS
Brest

Toulouse vs Brest Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 5:42PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Soccer
Stade Francis-Le Blé, Brest
Outdoor
Sun 25 Jan 2026, 4:15PM
2
Game markets graded
0
Props graded
Answer
The model’s one call for this game: Brest (Moneyline)
The model graded 2 markets for Toulouse vs Brest (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $280 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. For the numbers: model win probability 38.1%, fair odds 2.62, book price +180, model edge +2.4%. Tip-off Sun 25 Jan 2026, 4:15PM at Stade Francis-Le Blé.

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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
Brest
+180
+ 1 more market
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
BrestHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
BrestHead to Head 3-WayPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Toulouse FC

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Stade Brestois

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Toulouse vs Brest: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineToulouse @ BrestNo line posted
5-3-0past meetings (last 8)
Draw31%Home form10-4-6Away form5-6-9
past meetings, home wins5 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Brest have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 0; the model reads Brest's win chance at 38% for this fixture. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreToulouse @ BrestNo line posted
6 / 8past meetings, both scored
Brest60%Toulouse65%
past meetings, both scored6 / 8 both scored

Both teams scored in 60% of Brest's and 65% of Toulouse's recent matches. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsToulouse @ BrestNo line posted
98%model over %
4 / 8past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.560%Away ov2.555%past meetings avg3.5
past meetings, over 2.54 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 3.5 goals, over 2.5 in 4 of them; the model prices Under at 98% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Toulouse @ Brest — what the model found

Our model graded 2 betting markets for Toulouse at Brest — 2 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

2
Game markets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 2 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

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Toulouse @ Brest — model preview

Unlock potential winning soccer bets for Brest playing Toulouse. Featuring picks like NA player props. Analysis includes same game parlay, SGP picks, Ligue 1 parlay odds, soccer parlay.

Ludovic Ajorque (Brest) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+240)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Ludovic Ajorque as an anytime goalscorer is a promising choice based on his home game performance data. His average goals at home (0.6) triple his overall average (0.2), indicating he performs significantly better when playing on home turf. This pattern is also reflected in his shots on target average, which is three times higher at home (1.2) than overall (0.4). Furthermore, his home hit rate over the last five games is 60% (3/5), suggesting a strong likelihood of scoring. Despite his current hit streak being zero, his overall hit rate in the last 10 games is a solid 60% (6/10). These statistics indicate a strong propensity for Ajorque to score, especially at home games, making this bet a rational choice.

🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Toulouse vs Brest in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Sunday 25 January 2026 at Stade Francis-Le Blé. The model has generated 2 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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