SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1 @ +121) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -106) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +158) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +162) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1 @ +121) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -106) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +158) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +162) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320)
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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for M'Bala Nzola is Yes on Anytime Goal Scorer.
On the Anytime Goal Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 41%, versus the book's implied 30%, for a model edge of +10.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Jul 11, 10:15AM UTC
Soccer

M'Bala Nzola

Fiorentina

+10.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Goal Scorer Yes +230 (3.30)
+10.7% Edge
Parma @ Pisa
Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
41.0%
Implied Probability
30.3%
Model Edge
+10.7%
Predicted Value
0.4 Anytime Goal Scorer

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Goal Scorer41.0%30.3%2.44+10.7%

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AI Analysis

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M'Bala Nzola (Lens) Yes Anytime Goalscorer (+230)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on M'Bala Nzola to score at any time during the Pisa vs Parma game is a solid choice based on his past performance. While his recent overall goal average is low, his away goal average is notably higher at 0.2. This suggests he performs better in away games, which is the case here. Furthermore, Nzola's average shots and shots on target in away games are higher than his overall average, indicating a higher probability of scoring when playing away. His away hit rate of 5 out of the last 11 games further supports this, showing that he scores in almost half of the away games he plays. Therefore, despite a current hit streak of 0, his away game performance makes him a good bet for an anytime goalscorer.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

M'Bala Nzola (Fiorentina) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for M'Bala Nzola is Yes on Anytime Goal Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.7% on this pick. Their next game is Parma vs Pisa at Arena Garibaldi – Stadio Romeo Anconetani, Pisa. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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