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Model picks & player props
Bournemouth
VS
Newcastle United

Bournemouth vs Newcastle United Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 3, 2:59PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

Soccer
St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
Outdoor
Sat 5 Sep 2026, 11:30AM
0
Game markets graded
1
Props graded
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Best price on this game

Odds checked in the last few minutes · 38 bookmakers compared
Winner
Bournemouth3.55+255Betfair Exchange (UK)
Draw3.85+285Betfair Exchange (UK)
United2.18+118LeoVegas
Total goals
Over2.51.60-167William Hill
Under2.52.40+140betPARX
Market backing Newcastle United: 2.68 → 2.21 (38 books)
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 34 of 70 right (soccer total goals overs)
This bet type · last timeAug 30
Over 1.5
Brentford @ Leeds United
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $127
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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All 0 game markets and 1 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,565+ members.

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Market intelligence for this game

Line move · best book · closing line
The market sharpened toward Newcastle United on this game.

Line movement

▲ moved toward Newcastle United
Exact move size 🔒 Pro
Derived from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction, the best-book name and our derived value only, never a raw per-book odds board.

Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

AFC Bournemouth

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Newcastle United

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Bournemouth vs Newcastle United: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Adam Smith AFC Bournemouth Shots on Target

+ 1 player prop graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Bournemouth @ Newcastle United — what the model found

Our model graded 1 betting market for Bournemouth at Newcastle United — 0 on the game itself and 1 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

1
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 1 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

Bournemouth @ Newcastle United — where the money went

Since betting opened on Bournemouth at Newcastle United, the market has moved toward Newcastle United across the main game markets.

BetWhat the money did
Moneyline — Newcastle United▲ Money came for this
Moneyline — Bournemouth▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Bournemouth 0.25▼ Money drifted off this
Moneyline — Draw▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Newcastle United -0.25▲ Money came for this
Spread — Newcastle United -0.5▲ Money came for this
Total Points — Under 2.5▼ Money drifted off this
Spread — Bournemouth 0.5▼ Money drifted off this
🔒 Exact prices and how far each line moved are for members. Unlock →
Built from a multi-book scan — we publish the direction the market moved, never a raw per-book odds board.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Bournemouth vs Newcastle United in the Soccer. The next scheduled game is Saturday 5 September 2026 at St James' Park. The model has generated 1 player prop for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 16 meetings on record
Bournemouth 5–4 across the last 16 meetings · 7 draws · these games average 2.8 goals (meetings on record since 2015)
DateGameScoreWinner
18 Apr 2026Bournemouth @ Newcastle United1–2Bournemouth
21 Sep 2025Newcastle United @ Bournemouth0–0Draw
18 Jan 2025Bournemouth @ Newcastle United1–4Bournemouth
25 Aug 2024Newcastle United @ Bournemouth1–1Draw
17 Feb 2024Bournemouth @ Newcastle United2–2Draw
11 Nov 2023Newcastle United @ Bournemouth2–0Bournemouth
11 Feb 2023Newcastle United @ Bournemouth1–1Draw
17 Sep 2022Bournemouth @ Newcastle United1–1Draw
1 Jul 2020Newcastle United @ Bournemouth1–4Newcastle United
9 Nov 2019Bournemouth @ Newcastle United2–1Newcastle United

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 16 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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