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Soccer

Serge Gnabry

Germany

Value call

Serge Gnabry (Germany) has one live pick today: to receive a card Yes that pays $1,800 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
6 in 100
Predicted
0.1 To Receive a Card
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 5.7% · before adjusting for past results 7.5% · the book's price implies 5.6% · gap +0.2%.

Latest Model PickFree
Bayern Munich @ Augsburg
WWK Arena, Augsburg, Bavaria · Outdoor
Sat 10 Oct, 3:30 PM CEST
Serge Gnabry
to receive a card Yes
To Receive a Card Yes +1700 (18.00) · $100→$1,800
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 6 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$180.00 Odds+1700
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Serge Gnabry is Yes on To Receive a Card.
On To Receive a Card, our numbers say this bet wins about 6 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 6%, the price says 6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current Soccer schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 5:25PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls soccer total goals overs: +$2,522 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
To Receive a Card7.5%5.7%5.6%17.50+2.0%

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AI Analysis

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Serge Gnabry (Bayern Munich) Yes To Be Carded (+1700)

Odds correct at time of publishing

As Bayern Munich heads to Augsburg, all eyes will be on Serge Gnabry, a player known for his flair but also for the occasional reckless challenge. While his recent stats suggest he's been relatively clean with no cards in his last five outings, this matchup brings an interesting twist. Augsburg's tenacity often results in a physical battle, and Gnabry, typically deployed on the wing, might find himself in heated situations, especially if Bayern are chasing an early goal. With a model prediction hinting at a 5.6% chance of a card, it’s a low-risk, high-reward bet. In a game where emotions run high and the stakes are even higher, betting on Gnabry to receive a card could pay off handsomely, given the unpredictable nature of Bundesliga clashes. It’s a gamble worth taking when you consider the dynamics on the pitch this Saturday.

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Pick History & Track Record

Serge Gnabry — 2024 season

Serge Gnabry scored 0 goals with 0 assists in 3 Bundesliga appearances for Bayern Munich in the 2024 season, from 10 shots (3 on target) and an expected-goals total of 1.1.

0
Goals
0
Assists
1.1
xG
10
Shots
3
On target
5
Key passes
3
Apps
161
Minutes
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Serge Gnabry (Germany) is tracked by the Bet Better model for Soccer player prop betting. The latest model pick for Serge Gnabry is Yes on To Receive a Card. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Bayern Munich vs Augsburg on Saturday 10 October at WWK Arena, Augsburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your Soccer betting strategy.

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