Model picks & player props
Auxerre
VS
Nice
Auxerre vs Nice Picks & Predictions
Model updated Sep 10, 8:16AM UTC
We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Auxerre Head to Head (3-Way) +390
The model graded 9 markets for Auxerre vs Nice (Soccer) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $490 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sat 23 Aug 2025, 5:00PM at Allianz Riviera.
Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win30.6%
The price says20.4%
Best price+390
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
| Head to Head (3-Way) |
Auxerre |
Long-shot31% chance |
+390 |
| Moneyline |
|
Long-shot31% chance |
— |
| Draw No Bet |
|
Long-shot36% chance |
— |
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
Auxerre and Nice last met on Sat 23 Aug 2025. What follows is the model's graded record from that game; a new preview appears here the moment the next one is priced. Today's board: every Soccer game priced right now.
This game is done
Today’s board is live — the model has already graded tonight’s games.
Best price on this game
Odds checked in the last few minutes · 35 bookmakers comparedWinnerNice2.84+184Betfair Exchange (UK)
Draw3.45+245Betfair Exchange (UK)
Auxerre2.72+172Betfair Exchange (UK)
Total goalsOver2.52.04+104BetRivers
Under2.51.87-115Bovada
Market backing Nice: 3.09 → 2.87 (33 books)
Auxerre vs Nice odds by bookmaker
35 books · best price in green| Book | Nice win | Auxerre win | Auxerre 0 | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|
| BetOnline | 2.80+180 | 2.58+158 | 1.85-118 | 1.94-106 | 1.87-115 |
|---|
| BetUS | 2.80+180 | 2.55+155 | 1.83-120 | 1.87-115 | 1.87-115 |
|---|
| Bovada | 2.70+170 | 2.50+150 | 1.85-118 | 1.95-105 | 1.87-115 |
|---|
| LowVig | 2.80+180 | 2.58+158 | 1.85-118 | 1.94-106 | 1.87-115 |
|---|
| Bally Bet | 2.75+175 | 2.50+150 | — | 2.04+104 | 1.75-133 |
|---|
| BetMGM | 2.70+170 | 2.55+155 | — | 1.91-110 | 1.80-125 |
|---|
| betPARX | 2.75+175 | 2.50+150 | — | 2.04+104 | 1.75-133 |
|---|
| BetRivers | 2.75+175 | 2.50+150 | — | 2.04+104 | 1.75-133 |
|---|
| Casumo | 2.75+175 | 2.50+150 | — | 2.04+104 | 1.75-133 |
|---|
| Grosvenor | 2.80+180 | 2.55+155 | — | 2.04+104 | 1.75-133 |
|---|
| Kalshi | 2.78+178 | 2.63+163 | — | 1.96-104 | 1.85-117 |
|---|
| LeoVegas | 2.65+165 | 2.45+145 | — | 1.88-114 | 1.83-120 |
|---|
| William Hill | 2.70+170 | 2.50+150 | — | 1.95-105 | 1.83-120 |
|---|
| 888sport | 2.70+170 | 2.50+150 | — | — | — |
|---|
Since the market opened: Auxerre to win opened 2.39, best now 2.74; the over 2.5 opened 2.03, best now 2.04 (decimal, best book).
Market backing Nice: 3.09 → 2.87 (33 books)
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact.
See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best Soccer market — 57 of 117 right (soccer draw no bet calls)This bet type · last timeSep 7
Cagliari
Lecce @ Cagliari
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $162
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Head to Head (3-Way)
Auxerre
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AJ Auxerre
Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.
OGC Nice
Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.
For Auxerre vs Nice: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.
General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.
Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view
See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Betting angles
Markets & formMoneylineAuxerre @ NiceNo line posted 0-3-1past meetings (last 4)
Draw29%Auxerre31%Home form11-4-5Away form5-8-7
past meetings, home wins0 / 4 home
In their last 4 meetings, Nice have won 0, drawn 3 and lost 1. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.
Both Teams to ScoreAuxerre @ NiceNo line posted 4 / 4past meetings, both scored
Nice70%Auxerre55%
past meetings, both scored4 / 4 both scored
Both teams scored in 70% of Nice's and 55% of Auxerre's recent matches. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.
Total GoalsAuxerre @ NiceNo line posted 1 / 4past meetings, over 2.5
Home ov2.560%Away ov2.550%past meetings avg2.3
past meetings, over 2.51 / 4 over
The last 4 meetings averaged 2.3 goals, over 2.5 in 1 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.
Auxerre @ Nice — what the model found
Our model graded 9 betting markets for Auxerre at Nice — 9 on the game itself and 0 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.
The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 9 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.
🔒 The other 8 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Auxerre @ Nice — model preview
Winning soccer bets for Nice vs Auxerre? We break down Ligue 1 odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA player props. Explore same game parlay, SGP picks, Ligue 1 parlay odds, soccer parlay.
Nice vs Auxerre: Auxerre Draw No Bet (+260)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Auxerre in the Draw No Bet market is a good choice based on the team's recent performance and head-to-head record against Nice. Auxerre has a stronger overall record in the last five matches (3-1-1) compared to Nice (2-1-2). Furthermore, Auxerre has demonstrated better defensive capabilities, with an average opponent score of just 0.4 in their last five games, compared to Nice's 1.2. In head-to-head encounters, Nice has struggled against Auxerre, with no wins in their last five match-ups. Auxerre's xG (expected goals) in the last five games is also higher (1.82) than Nice's (1.5), indicating a stronger offensive performance. These statistics suggest that Auxerre has a good chance of either winning or drawing the game.
Nice vs Auxerre: Auxerre Moneyline (+390)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Auxerre's recent performance makes them a strong choice for this bet. Over the last five games, they've had a better overall record (3-1-1) than Nice (2-1-2). In previous face-offs against Nice, Auxerre has also shown stronger performance (1-2-0) compared to Nice's record (0-3-1). In terms of scoring, both teams have the same average score (1.4), but Auxerre has managed to limit their opponent's score to 0.4 compared to Nice's 1.2. Additionally, Auxerre has a higher expected goals (xG) average (1.82) than Nice (1.5). This suggests that Auxerre has had more and better scoring opportunities. Considering these factors, betting on Auxerre seems to be a statistically sound choice.
Nice vs Auxerre: Auxerre Moneyline (+390)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
The bet on Auxerre is a good choice given their recent performance, showing a better overall record (3-1-1) in their last five games compared to Nice's (2-1-2). Auxerre's average team score (1.4) matches Nice's, but their opponent score (0.4) is significantly lower than Nice's (1.2), indicating a stronger defense. Furthermore, Auxerre's Expected Goals (xG) average (1.82) is higher than Nice's (1.5), suggesting they create more high-quality scoring opportunities. Additionally, Auxerre has a more favorable record against Nice in their last five encounters (1-2-0) compared to Nice's record against Auxerre (0-3-1). This suggests Auxerre has an edge in head-to-head matchups. These statistics collectively indicate that Auxerre is in a stronger position to win the match.
🔒 The other 2 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Auxerre vs Nice in the Soccer. The most recent game between them was Saturday 23 August 2025 at Allianz Riviera. The model has generated 9 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.