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NHL

Semyon Varlamov

New York Islanders

Value call

Semyon Varlamov (New York Islanders) has one live pick today: over 27.5 saves that pays $410 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
19 in 100
Predicted
24.3 saves
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 18.6% · before adjusting for past results 25.7% · the book's price implies 24.4% · gap -5.8%.

Latest Model PickFree
Los Angeles Kings @ New York Islanders
UBS Arena, New York, FUT · Indoor
Thu 22 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Semyon Varlamov
over 27.5 saves
Saves Over 27.5 +310 (4.10) · $100→$410
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 19 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$41.00 Odds+310
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Semyon Varlamov is Over 27.5 on Saves.
On Saves, our numbers say this bet wins about 19 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 19%, the price says 24%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 24, 1:07PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Saves25.7%18.6%24.4%5.39+1.3%

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AI Analysis

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New York Islanders vs Los Angeles Kings: Semyon Varlamov Over 27.5 Saves (+310)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The New York Islanders have been playing pretty well lately, winning five of their last ten games. On the other hand, the Los Angeles Kings are really struggling, with just one win in their last ten games. This matchup could see a lot of action, especially since the Kings have many left-handed shooters, which might keep the pressure on Islanders' goalie Semyon Varlamov. Betting on Varlamov to make over 27.5 saves seems like a good idea here. With the Kings' recent scoring troubles, it's tough to know if they'll find the back of the net much, but if they do create chances, Varlamov will be busy. The most concrete risk is that the Kings might not shoot enough to give him the chance for those saves, but overall, he has a real shot at this number given the circumstances.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
SavesModel read - latest listed matchupNo line posted
24.3projected saves (model)
Line27.5Model proj24.3Last oppLAKListed2

Semyon Varlamov (New York Islanders) NHL Saves: BetBetter's model projects 24.3 saves against a market line of 27.5 vs LAK. 2 matchups tracked. No upcoming NHL line is posted for this market right now.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Oct 26 Los Angeles Kings @ New York Islanders Saves — — — Pending
22 Oct 26 Los Angeles Kings @ New York Islanders Saves — — — Pending

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About This Player

Semyon Varlamov (New York Islanders) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Semyon Varlamov is Over 27.5 on Saves. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.3% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Kings vs New York Islanders on Thursday 22 October at UBS Arena, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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