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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Porter Martone is Over 4.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 9 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 9%, the price says 6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 6, 12:06AM UTC
NHL

Porter Martone

Philadelphia Flyers

Value call

Porter Martone (Philadelphia Flyers) has one live pick today: Shots on Goal Over 4.5 that pays $1,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Shots on Goal Over 4.5 +1500 (16.00) · $100→$1,600
Value call
Philadelphia Flyers @ Tampa Bay Lightning
Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay, FUT · Indoor
Mon 5 Oct, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
9 in 100
Predicted
1.6 Shots on Goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 8.7% · the book's price implies 6.3% · gap +2.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal8.7%—6.3%11.46+2.5%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/5

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Lightning vs Philadelphia Flyers: Porter Martone Over 4.5 Shots on Goal (+1500)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Porter Martone has been getting plenty of chances lately, and he's part of a Tampa Bay Lightning team that has won five of their last ten games. With the Flyers struggling badly and winning only one of their last ten, it's likely that Tampa will control the game. This could open up more opportunities for Martone to take shots. Betting on Martone to get over 4.5 shots on goal feels exciting, especially with those odds. The biggest risk here is that Martone might not get enough ice time if the game goes a certain way. Still, given the Lightning's recent form and the Flyers' tough season, this bet has some real potential.

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Pick History & Track Record

Porter Martone's lines for Mon 5 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Shots on Goal 4.5

Porter Martone's shots on goal line is 4.5.

Recent game log

Porter Martone has 4 goals and 5 assists (9 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
3 Oct 26vs CAR0001211:02
1 Oct 26@ NJD0001012:27
30 Sep 26vs PIT0000014:05
14 Apr 26vs MTL1125217:37
13 Apr 26vs CAR0110317:16
11 Apr 26@ WPG1012115:25
9 Apr 26@ DET1123419:46
7 Apr 26@ NJD0112115:44
5 Apr 26vs BOS1125217:12
3 Apr 26@ NYI0001215:13
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Sep 26 Pittsburgh Penguins @ Philadelphia Flyers Shots on Goal 2.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Porter Martone (Philadelphia Flyers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Porter Martone is Over 4.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning on Monday 5 October at Benchmark International Arena, Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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