Calvin Pickard (Edmonton Oilers) Under 25.5 Saves (-120)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The betting rationale for Calvin Pickard to achieve under 25.5 saves in the 'Player Total Saves' market is supported by several statistical factors. Firstly, the model prediction of 23.73 saves is below the line of 25.5. Moreover, Pickard's average saves in the last 5 overall games is only 19, significantly lower than the bet line. Although his last 5 home games record a higher average of 27.6 saves, it's important to consider the current home games hit streak, which stands at 1, suggesting a temporary deviation from the norm. Furthermore, his overall current hit streak is 2, suggesting a trend towards fewer saves. Lastly, considering his last 20 home games, Pickard's hit rate stands at 16/20, indicating a considerable likelihood of underperformance relative to the bet line. Therefore, the bet is chosen based on Pickard's recent performance data and model insights.