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NHL

Alex Tuch

Washington Capitals

Value call

Alex Tuch (Washington Capitals) has one live pick today: over 2.5 shots on goal that pays $216 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
50 in 100
Predicted
2.8 shots on goal
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 49.7% · the book's price implies 46.3% · gap +3.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Montréal Canadiens @ Washington Capitals
Capital One Arena, Washington, FUT · Indoor
Wed 14 Oct, 7:30 PM ET
Alex Tuch
over 2.5 shots on goal
Shots on Goal Over 2.5 +116 (2.16) · $100→$216
Value call
LEANWins about 50 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$21.60 Odds+116
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Alex Tuch is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal.
On Shots on Goal, our numbers say this bet wins about 50 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 50%, the price says 46%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NHL schedule.
Model updated Oct 14, 10:13PM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Shots on Goal49.7%—46.3%2.01+3.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Washington Capitals vs Montreal Canadiens: Alex Tuch Over 2.5 Shots on Goal (+116)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Washington Capitals have been in great form lately, winning 7 of their last 10 games. They'll be playing at home in Capital One Arena, which often gives them a boost. Alex Tuch has been getting plenty of chances to shoot, and with the team's strong scoring, it's likely he'll find opportunities to take more shots on goal against the Montreal Canadiens, who have struggled lately with only 3 wins in their last 10 matches. Tuch's chances look promising, but there is a risk here since the game is rated close to a coin flip. The Canadiens have some solid defenders who could make it tough for him. Still, with the Capitals' current momentum, betting on Tuch to have over 2.5 shots on goal makes sense in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Alex Tuch's lines for Wed 14 Oct

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Shots on Goal 2.5
+122 best over price · 12 booksWent over in 5 of the last 10 games

Alex Tuch's shots on goal line is 2.5, best over price +122 across 12 books. He has gone over it in 5 of his last 10 games.

Recent game log

Alex Tuch has 7 goals and 1 assists (8 points) across his last 10 NHL games.

DateOppGAPSOGHitsTOI
11 Oct 26vs SEA0002120:52
9 Oct 26vs NYR0002020:25
7 Oct 26vs PIT1016118:35
3 Oct 26@ TBL0002217:53
2 Oct 26@ CAR2023116:38
15 Apr 26vs DAL1011020:36
13 Apr 26@ CHI1123021:23
9 Apr 26vs CBJ0002121:16
8 Apr 26@ NYR1011019:05
6 Apr 26vs TBL1016217:59
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Oct 26 Washington Capitals @ Carolina Hurricanes Shots on Goal — — — Pending

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About This Player

Alex Tuch (Washington Capitals) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NHL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Alex Tuch is Over 2.5 on Shots on Goal. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.4% on this pick. Their next game is Montréal Canadiens vs Washington Capitals on Wednesday 14 October at Capital One Arena, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NHL betting strategy.

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