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Model picks & player props
New York Islanders
VS
Calgary Flames

New York Islanders vs Calgary Flames Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NHL
Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary
Indoor
Sat 17 Jan 2026, 8:00PM
4
Game Picks
2
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New York Islanders (Moneyline)
For New York Islanders vs Calgary Flames (NHL), model win probability 64.7%, fair odds 1.55, book price -112, model edge +11.8%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sat 17 Jan 2026, 8:00PM at Scotiabank Saddledome.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
New York Islanders
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New York IslandersMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Calgary FlamesPuck LinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal GoalsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

New York Islanders

  • Mathew Barzal COut
  • Semyon Varlamov GOut
  • Kyle Palmieri COut
  • Ryan Pulock DOut
  • Alexander Romanov DOut

Calgary Flames

  • Kevin Bahl DOut
  • Connor Zary COut
  • Yan Kuznetsov DOut
Availability updated May 12, 8:04PM UTC — some NHL rows may be stale between updates. · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For New York Islanders vs Calgary Flames: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 8 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability8 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Rasmus Andersson Calgary Flames Shots on Goal 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
David Rittich New York Islanders Saves 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineModel leans New York IslandersNo line posted

New York Islanders @ Calgary Flames moneyline: model lean and both sides' win form.

Puck LineCalgary Flames +1.5No line posted

New York Islanders @ Calgary Flames puck-line (spread) model lean and cover form.

Total GoalsGame totalNo line posted

New York Islanders @ Calgary Flames total-goals model lean and scoring trends (no settled over/under record yet).

New York Islanders @ Calgary Flames — model preview

<p>Winning bets for Calgary Flames vs New York Islanders? We break down NHL odds and insights. Includes analysis on key players like Rasmus Andersson. Explore NHL predictions, NHL game picks, hockey betting preview, Calgary Flames vs New York Islanders stats and odds.</p>

Calgary Flames vs New York Islanders : Calgary Flames +1.5 (-286)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Calgary Flames at 1.5 in the 'Puck Line' market is supported by the team's performance in previous games. Over the last five matches, the Flames have maintained an average of 1 goal per game at home, while the Islanders have also averaged 1 goal in their away games. Considering the Flames' home advantage, their recent form against the Islanders with a 3-2 win record, and their marginally better performance in generating assists (1.8 average) compared to the Islanders (1 average), it is reasonable to predict the Flames will cover the puck line. Additionally, the model's prediction, implying a 74.1% chance for the Flames to win, and it's relatively low standard deviation of 1.64, further strengthens the rationale for this bet. This combination of factors indicates a potentially profitable opportunity betting on the Flames to win by more than 1.5 goals.

Rasmus Andersson (Calgary Flames) Over 1.5 Shots On Goal (-192)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The Over 1.5 bet on Rasmus Andersson for 'Player Shots On Goal' is chosen based on his recent performance and the model's prediction. In his last five home games, Andersson has averaged 2.6 shots per game, which is above the required 1.5 line set for this bet. Additionally, his overall average over the last five games is 3.2 shots, further supporting that he frequently exceeds the 1.5 line. This is also backed by his hit rates where he's hit over 1.5 shots in 11 out of his last 16 home games and 4 out of his last 5 games overall. The model prediction of 2.72, which is well above the line, suggests that Andersson is likely to continue this trend. Considering these stats, it seems reasonable to expect Andersson to have over 1.5 shots on goal in the upcoming game.

David Rittich (New York Islanders) Under 25.5 Saves (-105)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale on David Rittich for Under 25.5 in the 'Player Total Saves' market is supported by a combination of his recent performance data and the model's prediction. Rittich's average saves for the last five away games stand at 26, which is marginally above the line, however, his overall average for the last five games is lower at 23.8. In addition, the model predicts a total of 24.55 saves, which falls below the line of 25.5. It's noteworthy that his hit rate in the last 20 away games is just over half (11/20) and he currently has no active hit streak in away games. These statistics, combined with the model's prediction, suggest that Rittich is more likely to make fewer than 25.5 saves in the upcoming game against the Calgary Flames.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for New York Islanders vs Calgary Flames in the NHL. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Saturday 17 January 2026 at Scotiabank Saddledome. The model has generated 4 game picks and 2 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NHL betting strategy for this matchup.

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