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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jarrett Stidham is Under 14.5 on Rushing Yards.
On the Rushing Yards market the model assigns a model win probability of 56%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +2.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:16PM UTC
NFL

Jarrett Stidham

DEN

+2.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rushing Yards Under 14.5 -114 (1.88)
+2.8% Edge
New England Patriots @ Denver Broncos
Denver · Indoor
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Stidham could be pushed for the second spot on Denver's quarterback depth chart by Sam Ehlinger in training camp, Parker Gabriel of the Denver Post reports.
updated Jul 13, 3:27PM UTC · 7d old
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Model Probability
56.0%
Implied Probability
53.2%
Model Edge
+2.8%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rushing Yards56.0%—53.2%1.79+2.8%

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AI Analysis

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Jarrett Stidham (DEN) Under 14.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting under 14.5 on Jarrett Stidham's rushing yards seems to be a favorable position based on recent data. Stidham's overall hit rate for the under in his last 5, 10, and 20 games is high, coming in at 4/5, 5/8, and 5/8 respectively. These hit rates suggest that in most recent games, Stidham has struggled to surpass 14.5 rushing yards, indicating a consistent pattern of underperformance in this area. While his home game hit rates are slightly lower, this game against Denver Broncos is not a home game, making these stats less impactful. It's worth noting that his current hit streak for both overall and home games is at 0, suggesting he is not currently on a run of high rushing yard games. Therefore, the statistical data supports betting under 14.5 for Jarrett Stidham's rushing yards.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Rushing Yards8 lines trackedNo line posted
14.5typical line · rushing yds
line range13.5–15.5tips tracked8

Jarrett Stidham's NFL rushing yards prop has been priced 8 times, typically around a 14.5 rushing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jarrett Stidham (DEN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jarrett Stidham is Under 14.5 on Rushing Yards. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.8% on this pick. Their next game is New England Patriots vs Denver Broncos at Denver. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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