Jarrett Stidham (DEN) Under 15.5 Rushing Yards (-114)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Based on the data provided, a bet on Jarrett Stidham to rush for under 15.5 yards seems statistically defensible. Although Stidham has hit the over on this prop in 5 out of his last 8 games overall, his performance at home has been less impressive, hitting the over in only 2 out of 5 games. This suggests that he tends to rush for fewer yards when playing at home. Additionally, Stidham is currently on a zero-game hit streak both overall and at home, implying a recent lack of success in exceeding this rushing total. While the model edge is relatively small at around 5.1%, the combination of these factors supports the conclusion that a bet on Stidham to stay under 15.5 rushing yards is a reasonable proposition.