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Jalon Daniels

TB

Value call

Jalon Daniels has one live pick today: under 176.5 passing yards that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
57 in 100
Predicted
163.5 passing yards
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 57.5% · before adjusting for past results 67.2% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +4.3%.

Latest Model PickFree
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Jalon Daniels
under 176.5 passing yards
Passing Yards Under 176.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
LEANWins about 57 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jalon Daniels is Under 176.5 on Passing Yards.
On Passing Yards, our numbers say this bet wins about 57 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 57%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 25, 10:13PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: +$14,073 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Daniels is expected to work as Tampa Bay's No. 2 QB on Sunday in Carolina, as Baker Mayfield (thumb) is questionable to play but is expected to start, Scott Smith and Brianna Dix of the Buccaneers' official site report.
updated Oct 24, 1:27AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Passing Yards67.2%57.5%53.2%2.00+14.0%

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Pittsburgh Steelers: Jalon Daniels Under 176.5 Passing Yards (-114)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For tonight's game, Jalon Daniels needs to throw for less than 176.5 passing yards. Given how both defenses have performed, this seems likely. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers gave up a fair number of touchdowns to running backs but still limit passing yards effectively. On the flip side, the Pittsburgh Steelers are tough against the pass, allowing the fewest touchdowns to running backs last season. However, there's a real chance the Buccaneers could struggle with their quarterback facing more rushers than the average quarterback does. That could lead to fewer passing opportunities for Daniels. While our numbers give this pick a good chance, it's important to remember that the pressure could impact his performance.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 7 of last 10(70%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
Passing Yards28 lines trackedNo line posted
99.5typical line · passing yds
line range99.5–178.5model over99%tips tracked28

Jalon Daniels's NFL passing yards prop has been priced 28 times, typically around a 99.5 passing yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Passing Yards 176.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Passing Yards 177.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Interceptions Thrown 0.5 Under -110 ✗ MISS
18 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Passing Touchdowns — — — Pending
18 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Passing Yards — — — Pending
18 Oct 26 Pittsburgh Steelers @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers Passing Yards — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jalon Daniels (TB) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jalon Daniels is Under 176.5 on Passing Yards. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +14.0% on this pick. Their next game is Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday 18 October at Tampa Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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