Fernando Mendoza has one live pick today: under 0.5 passing touchdowns that pays $277 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
37 in 100
Predicted
0.8 passing touchdowns
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 37.1% · before adjusting for past results 46.0% · the book's price implies 36.1% · gap +1.0%.
Latest Model PickFree
Seattle Seahawks
@
Las Vegas Raiders
Fernando Mendoza
under 0.5 passing touchdowns
Passing Touchdowns
Under 0.5
+177 (2.77) · $100→$277
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 37 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$27.70
Odds+177
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Fernando Mendoza is Under 0.5 on Passing Touchdowns.
On Passing Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 37 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 37%, the price says 36%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 15, 4:04PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Fernando Mendoza playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Fernando Mendoza is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Mendoza will take over as the Raiders' new starting quarterback beginning with Sunday's game versus the Seahawks after Las Vegas traded Kirk Cousins to Minnesota on Tuesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
updated Nov 10, 7:57PM UTC · 4d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Passing Touchdowns | 46.0% | 37.1% | 36.1% | 2.92 | +9.9% |
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Fernando Mendoza (LV) Under 0.5 Passing Touchdowns (+177)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Las Vegas Raiders play Seattle Seahawks in the NFL on Sunday 15 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Fernando Mendoza (LV) Under 0.5 Passing Touchdowns. It was priced at +177 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $27.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Fernando Mendoza's lines for Sun 15 Nov
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Passing Touchdowns 0.5
Fernando Mendoza's passing touchdowns line is 0.5.
Interceptions Thrown 0.5
Fernando Mendoza's interceptions thrown line is 0.5.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Fernando Mendoza (LV) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Fernando Mendoza is Under 0.5 on Passing Touchdowns. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.9% on this pick. Their next game is Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders on Sunday 15 November at Las Vegas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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