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NFL

Deven Thompkins

LV

Value call

Deven Thompkins has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $2,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
8 in 100
Predicted
0.1 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 8.4% · before adjusting for past results 12.1% · the book's price implies 3.9% · gap +4.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Las Vegas Raiders @ New England Patriots
New England · Indoor
Sun 11 Oct, 1:00 PM ET
Deven Thompkins
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +2500 (26.00) · $100→$2,600
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 8 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$260.00 Odds+2500
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Deven Thompkins is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 8 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 8%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 15, 2:57AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD12.1%8.4%3.9%26.00+8.3%

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AI Analysis

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New England Patriots vs Las Vegas Raiders: Deven Thompkins Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+2000)

Odds correct at time of publishing

For Deven Thompkins to score a touchdown tonight, he needs to find the end zone against the Raiders. This matchup might be tough, but the Raiders gave up a decent amount of touchdowns to tight ends last season, which could help Thompkins get open. Plus, the Patriots' quarterback has faced a lot of extra pressure, so quick plays might be key. That said, Thompkins is considered an outsider for this bet. The Patriots don't throw to him as much as other players, which makes it a bit risky. Still, if he gets the chance and the Raiders' defense slips up, he could surprise everyone. It's a long shot, but sometimes those are the most exciting bets!

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD1 line trackedNo line posted
12%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked1

Deven Thompkins's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 1 time, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 12%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Deven Thompkins (LV) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Deven Thompkins is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +8.3% on this pick. Their next game is Las Vegas Raiders vs New England Patriots on Sunday 11 October at New England. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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