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The latest Bet Better model pick for Curtis Samuel is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer.
On the Anytime Touchdown Scorer market the model assigns a model win probability of 34%, versus the book's implied 14%, for a model edge of +19.8%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:05PM UTC
NFL

Curtis Samuel

BUF

+19.8% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Yes +600 (7.00)
+19.8% Edge
Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills
Buffalo · Indoor
No injury designationSeason pending
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
34.1%
Implied Probability
14.3%
Model Edge
+19.8%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime Touchdown Scorer34.1%—14.3%2.93+19.8%

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AI Analysis

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Curtis Samuel (BUF) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+600)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Based on the available betting data, it would be a risky move to place a bet on Curtis Samuel scoring a touchdown at any time during the Buffalo Bills vs Miami Dolphins game. Samuel's recent performance and trends do not suggest a high likelihood of this outcome. In his last three, five, and ten games overall, he has not scored a touchdown. Similarly, his hit rate against Miami in his last three, five, and ten games is zero. At home, his hit rate improves slightly, with one touchdown in his last five and ten games. However, when playing against Miami at home, his hit rate reverts back to zero. His current hit streak in all categories is also zero. Despite a model edge of 0.197858784710908, the overall statistics suggest that betting on Samuel to score a touchdown would be a high-risk move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Anytime TD2 lines trackedNo line posted
34%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked2

Curtis Samuel's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 2 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 34%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Curtis Samuel (BUF) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Curtis Samuel is Yes on Anytime Touchdown Scorer. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is Miami Dolphins vs Buffalo Bills at Buffalo. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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