Carson Wentz has one live pick today: over 174.5 passing yards that pays $137 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
215.4 passing yards
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 75.6% · before adjusting for past results 89.7% · the book's price implies 73.0% · gap +2.6%.
Latest Model PickFree
Buffalo Bills
@
Minnesota Vikings
Carson Wentz
over 174.5 passing yards
Passing Yards (Alt)
Over 174.5
-270 (1.37) · $100→$137
Value call
HIGHWins about 76 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10
If it wins$13.70
Odds-270
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Carson Wentz is Over 174.5 on Passing Yards (Alt).
On Passing Yards (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 76%, the price says 73%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 9, 3:51PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flatToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
Is Carson Wentz playing today? Yes, on the latest team news. Carson Wentz is listed as active with no injury tag. Team news can change, so check again before the start.
UNKNOWN
Wentz is stated to start Monday night's game against the Bills, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
updated Nov 5, 6:30PM UTC · 3d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Passing Yards (Alt) | 89.7% | 75.6% | 73.0% | 1.37 | +16.7% |
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Minnesota Vikings vs Buffalo Bills: Carson Wentz Over 174.5 Passing Yards (Alt) (-270)
Odds correct at time of publishing
The odds for Carson Wentz to throw over 174.5 passing yards look solid. Our numbers see this as a strong pick because Wentz has been playing well lately, showing he can move the ball effectively. The Vikings' defense has had some struggles, which should give him chances to rack up those yards.
The biggest risk here is that the Bills have a good defense that could put pressure on him. If they can disrupt his rhythm, it might be tougher for him to hit that number. Still, with the way Wentz has been playing and the matchup against the Vikings, this bet feels promising.
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Carson Wentz's lines for Tue 10 Nov
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Passing Yards (Alt) 174.5
Carson Wentz's passing yards (alt) line is 174.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 169.5
Carson Wentz's passing yards (alt) line is 169.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 179.5
Carson Wentz's passing yards (alt) line is 179.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 159.5
Carson Wentz's passing yards (alt) line is 159.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 149.5
Carson Wentz's passing yards (alt) line is 149.5.
Passing Touchdowns 1.5
Carson Wentz's passing touchdowns line is 1.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 189.5
Carson Wentz's passing yards (alt) line is 189.5.
Passing Yards (Alt) 199.5
Carson Wentz's passing yards (alt) line is 199.5.
Betting angles
2 markets livePassing YardsNext game · Buffalo BillsO 174.5 -294
174.5posted line · passing yds
Carson Wentz has a live NFL passing yards market for Buffalo Bills: over 174.5 passing yds priced at -294.
Anytime TDNext game · Buffalo BillsAnytime TD +1300
Carson Wentz has a live NFL anytime td market for Buffalo Bills priced at +1300.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Carson Wentz (MIN) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Carson Wentz is Over 174.5 on Passing Yards (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.7% on this pick. Their next game is Buffalo Bills vs Minnesota Vikings on Monday 9 November at Minnesota. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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